MATCH OVERVIEW
Port Vale and Accrington Stanley face off in a pivotal League 2 match that could influence their positions in the league table. Scheduled for February 1, 2025, at Vale Park, this encounter promises to be a thrilling contest as both teams are eager to secure vital points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 1.85 for a Port Vale win, 3.52 for a draw, and 4.21 for an Accrington Stanley victory. These odds suggest a 54% probability for a Port Vale win, a 28% chance for a draw, and an 18% likelihood for an Accrington Stanley win. The odds favor Port Vale, indicating their home advantage and slightly better form.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Port Vale
- Current Form: Port Vale has shown consistency with an average of 1.22 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.04 goals on average.
- Strengths: Strong in duels (235.15 per match) and possession (50.19%), Port Vale's midfield control is a key asset.
- Weaknesses: Their conversion rate could improve, with only 3.63 shots on target per game.
Accrington Stanley
- Current Form: Accrington Stanley averages 1.27 goals per match but struggles defensively, conceding 1.65 goals on average.
- Strengths: Effective in duels (246.85 per match) and has a higher CompaScore Duels Rating (317.6) than Port Vale.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate (43.77%) and passing accuracy could be exploited by Port Vale.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Port Vale has had the upper hand in recent encounters, leveraging their home advantage effectively.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Port Vale
- Jayden Stockley: With 6 goals this season, Stockley is a crucial attacking threat.
- Jaheim Headley: Leading in points (140.13), his playmaking abilities are vital.
Accrington Stanley
- Shaun Whalley: Top scorer with 7 goals, Whalley's form is pivotal for Accrington's attack.
- Zach Awe: A key defensive player with 126.2 points, his performance will be crucial in containing Port Vale's forwards.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Port Vale averages 10.96 shots per game compared to Accrington's 9.46, indicating a more aggressive approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Port Vale's defense is more robust, with fewer goals conceded (1.04) compared to Accrington's 1.65.
- Possession and Passing: Port Vale's higher possession and successful passes (291.78) could dominate the midfield battle.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Port Vale's home advantage and superior defensive record make them favorites in this matchup. Key factors include their ability to control possession and exploit Accrington's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a closely contested match with Port Vale edging out a victory.
Final Score Prediction: Port Vale 2-1 Accrington Stanley Half Time Score Prediction: Port Vale 1-0 Accrington Stanley Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%