Basel vs Aston Villa - Free AI Football Predictions with 80%+ Accuracy

MATCH OVERVIEW

Basel and Aston Villa are set to face off in a pivotal UEFA Europa League match that could significantly impact their chances of advancing to the knockout stages. Basel, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with St. Jakob-Park to gain an advantage over the visiting Aston Villa. With the match scheduled for December 11, 2025, at 20:00, both teams will be eager to secure a victory.

ODDS ANALYSIS

The odds favor Aston Villa with an average of 1.75, indicating a 57% probability of an away win. Basel's odds stand at 3.88, translating to a 26% chance of a home victory, while the draw is priced at 4.00, suggesting a 25% likelihood. Given these odds, Aston Villa is expected to dominate, but Basel's home advantage could play a crucial role.

TEAM ANALYSIS

Basel

Basel has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.4 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.6%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by 14.4 shots per game, but they struggle with a low assist rate of 0.4. Defensively, Basel concedes 1.4 goals per match, which could be a concern against Aston Villa's potent attack.

Aston Villa

Aston Villa boasts a stronger form, averaging 1.6 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 59.2%. Their defense is robust, conceding only 0.6 goals per game. With 6 shots on target per match, Villa's attacking prowess is evident, making them a formidable opponent for Basel.

KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT

Basel

• Xherdan Shaqiri: With 3 goals this season, Shaqiri is Basel's key offensive player.
• Marwin Hitz: The goalkeeper has been crucial with 4.8 saves per match.

Aston Villa

• Donyell Malen: Leading the scoring charts with 3 goals, Malen is a threat to Basel's defense.
• Marco Bizot: His goalkeeping skills have been vital, averaging 3.8 saves per match.

STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE

Offensive and Defensive Metrics

• Basel: Average Expected Goals (xG) of 1.63 and Expected Goals Against (xGA) of 1.89.
• Aston Villa: Higher xG of 2.07 and lower xGA of 1.27, indicating a balanced approach.

Possession and Passing

• Basel: 441.6 passes per match with a success rate of 82%.
• Aston Villa: 494.8 passes per match with a success rate of 88%.

PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION

Aston Villa's superior form and defensive solidity make them favorites to win this match. Basel's home advantage and key players like Shaqiri could influence the outcome, but Villa's attacking depth is likely to prevail. Expect a competitive match with Aston Villa edging out Basel.

Final Score Prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Basel Half Time Score Prediction: Aston Villa 1-0 Basel Probability of Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 55%

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