MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Veikkausliiga match between Jaro and Haka is set to be a thrilling contest as both teams aim to secure vital points in the league. Jaro, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to challenge Haka, who have shown strong form this season. The match, scheduled for May 11, 2025, at 13:00, will be held at Jaro's home stadium, adding an extra layer of excitement to this encounter.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match suggest a challenging game for Jaro, with the home team priced at 5.05 to win, indicating a lower probability of victory. The draw is set at 3.71, while Haka, the away team, is favored with odds of 1.66. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 19.8% for a Jaro win, 26.9% for a draw, and 60.2% for a Haka victory. Given these figures, Haka is expected to dominate, but Jaro's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Jaro
Jaro's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 1.2 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.4%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an expected goals (xG) of 1.64, but they have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. Jaro's strengths lie in their dribbling, with 12.6 successful dribbles per match, but they need to improve their passing accuracy and defensive solidity.
Haka
Haka, on the other hand, have been impressive with a higher possession rate of 55.2% and an average of 1.4 goals per match. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.87 indicates a potent attack, supported by 5.4 shots on target per game. Defensively, Haka have conceded 1.4 goals per match, but their interceptions and clearances show a solid defensive structure. Haka's ability to control the game through passing and their offensive prowess make them a formidable opponent.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Jaro
Kerfala Cissoko has been a standout performer for Jaro, scoring 4 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for Jaro's chances. Miguel Santos and Erik Gunnarsson have also contributed significantly, with Santos leading in points.
Haka
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva has been instrumental for Haka, accumulating 157.46 points this season. Arlind Sejdiu and Eetu Mömmö have also been key players, with Mömmö's goal-scoring ability adding depth to Haka's attack. Lucas Falcão's contributions in both scoring and playmaking will be vital.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Jaro: 8.6 shots per game, 3.2 on target
- Haka: 14.6 shots per game, 5.4 on target
Defensive Metrics
- Jaro: 48.6 interceptions, 5 clearances
- Haka: 41 interceptions, 5 clearances
Passing and Possession
- Jaro: 373.2 passes, 287.8 successful
- Haka: 466.4 passes, 379.4 successful
Haka's superior passing and possession stats give them a statistical edge, while Jaro's dribbling and interception numbers highlight their potential to disrupt Haka's play.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data and odds, Haka are favored to win this match, with their superior offensive and defensive metrics likely to overpower Jaro. However, Jaro's home advantage and key players like Kerfala Cissoko could influence the outcome. The match-winning factors will include Haka's ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: Haka 2-1 Jaro Half Time Score Prediction: Haka 1-0 Jaro Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 60%