MATCH OVERVIEW
Mariehamn and Oulu are set to face off in a crucial Veikkausliiga match that could significantly impact their season standings. With Mariehamn playing at home, they will be looking to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to secure a victory against Oulu, who are currently favored by the odds. The match is scheduled to take place on October 18, 2025, at 14:00, and promises to be a competitive fixture.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight advantage for Oulu, with odds of 2.04 for an away win compared to 3.2 for a home win and 3.47 for a draw. This translates to a probability of approximately 48.8% for Oulu to win, 28.1% for Mariehamn, and 28.8% for a draw. Given these odds, Oulu is expected to have the upper hand, but Mariehamn's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mariehamn
Mariehamn's season has been a mixed bag, with an average of 1.23 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.65%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 2.04 goals per game. However, their ability to score in 65.38% of matches where both teams find the net indicates a fighting spirit.
Oulu
Oulu has shown slightly better form, averaging 1.35 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 48.92%. Their defense is marginally better, conceding 1.96 goals per game. Oulu's offensive capabilities are highlighted by their higher expected goals (1.28) compared to Mariehamn.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Oulu has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Mariehamn's home advantage could level the playing field. Tactical adjustments and player form will be key in determining the outcome.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mariehamn
- Korede Adedoyin: With 10 goals this season, Adedoyin is Mariehamn's top scorer and a crucial player in their attacking lineup.
- Emmanuel Okereke: Contributing 4 goals, Okereke's presence in the midfield is vital for creating scoring opportunities.
Oulu
- M. Fadera: Leading Oulu with 125.42 points, Fadera's performance will be instrumental in their quest for victory.
- Niklas Jokelainen: With 5 goals, Jokelainen is a key figure in Oulu's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Mariehamn: Average of 9.04 shots per game, with 3.42 on target. Their expected goals stand at 0.97.
- Oulu: Average of 10.31 shots per game, with 3.88 on target. Their expected goals are higher at 1.28.
Possession and Passing
- Mariehamn: 366.96 passes per game with a success rate of 296.81.
- Oulu: 383.96 passes per game with a success rate of 306.42.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Oulu is slightly favored to win, but Mariehamn's home advantage and fighting spirit could lead to a closely contested match. Key factors will include Mariehamn's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and Oulu's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction
Given the statistics and form, a 2-1 victory for Oulu seems likely, with Mariehamn putting up a strong fight at home.
All predictions, betting tips, and odds provided on this page are generated using data-driven models and expert analysis. While we strive for accuracy, no prediction can guarantee results. Soccer outcomes are influenced by numerous unpredictable factors such as injuries, weather, and team decisions. Please use our content as informational only and not as financial advice.
<0>Predictions.GG does not promote or encourage gambling. If you choose to place bets, please do so responsibly and ensure it complies with the laws and regulations in your country. For help with problem gambling, visit <1>BeGambleAware.org or your local support service.