MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Veikkausliiga match between Oulu and Haka is set to be a captivating contest, with both teams eager to secure vital points. Oulu, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to challenge Haka, who are currently favored by the odds. This match is significant in the context of the season, as both teams are looking to climb the league table and solidify their positions.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of an away victory, with Haka's odds at 1.6 indicating a 62.5% probability of winning. Oulu's odds of 5.3 translate to a 18.9% chance of a home win, while the draw is priced at 4.08, giving it a 24.5% probability. These odds reflect Haka's superior form and performance metrics this season, making them the expected winners.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Oulu has had a mixed season, with an average of 10 matches played and a notable 70% of those featuring over 2.5 goals. Their ability to score and concede goals makes them unpredictable, with a possession rate of 50.1% and an average of 1.3 goals per game. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding 2.1 goals per match.
Haka, on the other hand, has shown consistency with 9 matches played and a 66.67% rate of over 2.5 goals. Their possession is slightly higher at 50.33%, and they average 1.33 goals per game. Haka's defense is more robust, conceding 1.56 goals per match, which could be a decisive factor in this encounter.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Oulu's Niklas Jokelainen and Marokhy Ndione have been key contributors, each scoring 2 goals this season. Their performance will be crucial in breaking down Haka's defense. For Haka, Jean-Pierre Da Sylva and Eetu Mömmö have been standout performers, with Da Sylva scoring 2 goals and Mömmö providing critical assists.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Oulu's offensive metrics show promise, with 10.2 shots per game and a successful dribble rate of 15.3. However, their defensive metrics, such as 47.3 interceptions, highlight areas for improvement. Haka's offensive prowess is evident with 12.11 shots per game and a higher successful dribble rate of 16.22. Their defense is bolstered by 42.22 interceptions and a lower expected goals against of 1.16.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Haka is likely to emerge victorious, leveraging their superior defensive capabilities and consistent scoring. Key factors such as Haka's higher CompaScore ratings and offensive efficiency could be decisive. The final score prediction is a 2-1 victory for Haka, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are expected to score, with a 70% probability, and the match is likely to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 70% probability.