MATCH OVERVIEW
VPS and Ilves are set to face off in a pivotal Veikkausliiga match that could shape the trajectory of their season. VPS, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Ilves. The match, scheduled for May 2, 2025, at 15:00 GMT, is crucial for both teams as they seek to climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Ilves with an average of 2.02, indicating a higher probability of an away win. VPS, with odds of 3.23, are considered underdogs, while the draw is priced at 3.81. The probabilities suggest a 49.5% chance for Ilves to win, a 26.5% chance for VPS, and a 24% chance for a draw. Based on these odds, Ilves is expected to have the upper hand.
TEAM ANALYSIS
VPS has shown a mixed form this season, with a strong offensive presence but vulnerabilities in defense. They average 1.75 goals per match and have a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 75%. Ilves, on the other hand, boasts a more balanced approach with a higher possession rate of 57.75% and an impressive average of 3 goals per match. Head-to-head, Ilves seems to have a tactical edge with their superior passing and offensive metrics.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For VPS, Mads Borchers stands out with 3 goals this season, while Maissa Fall and Tyler Reid have also contributed to the scoreline. Ilves will rely on Roope Riski and Matias Rale, both having scored 2 goals each, to break through VPS's defense. The matchup between Borchers and Riski could be decisive in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
VPS's offensive metrics show promise with 13.25 shots per game and a high dribble success rate. However, their defense has been porous, conceding 2.5 goals per match. Ilves excels in passing, with 543.25 passes per game and a high success rate, which could be pivotal in controlling the match tempo. Ilves also has a higher CompaScore rating, indicating overall better team performance.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the statistical data and odds, Ilves is likely to emerge victorious. Their superior possession and passing metrics, coupled with a strong offensive lineup, make them favorites. VPS will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on home advantage to challenge Ilves. Final score prediction: VPS 1-2 Ilves.