MATCH OVERVIEW
Auxerre and Le Havre are gearing up for a significant Ligue 1 showdown that could have lasting implications on their season standings. As the competition heats up, both teams are eager to secure a victory that could propel them up the league table. The match will be held at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere, on May 4th, 2025, at 15:15.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Auxerre slightly favored at 1.98, indicating a 50.5% probability of a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 3.56, translating to a 28.1% chance, while Le Havre's odds of 3.68 suggest a 27.2% probability of an away victory. These figures highlight the competitive nature of the match, with Auxerre having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Auxerre
Auxerre's season has been marked by a mixed bag of performances, with an average of 1.37 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.27%. Their offensive capabilities are underscored by a 60% over 2.5 goals percentage, but their defense has been less reliable, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Le Havre
Le Havre, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding 2.13 goals per match. Their offensive output is modest, averaging 1.1 goals per game. Despite this, they have a slightly higher possession rate than Auxerre at 43.7%, indicating their ability to control the game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Auxerre has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Le Havre's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Auxerre
- Hamed Junior Traoré: With 10 goals this season, Traoré is a key offensive threat.
- Gaëtan Perrin: His 8 goals make him a crucial player in Auxerre's attacking lineup.
Le Havre
- Abdoulaye Touré: Leading the team with 8 goals, Touré is vital to Le Havre's scoring chances.
- Issa Soumaré: His 4 goals add depth to Le Havre's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Auxerre averages 10.93 shots per game, with 4.43 on target, while Le Havre manages 9.2 shots, with 3.2 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Auxerre's defense is slightly more robust, with 42.5 interceptions per game compared to Le Havre's 41.97.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Auxerre appears to have a slight advantage, particularly in offensive capabilities. The key to victory will likely lie in their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities while maintaining defensive solidity. Expect a closely fought match with Auxerre edging out Le Havre.
Final Score Prediction: Auxerre 2-1 Le Havre Half Time Score Prediction: Auxerre 1-0 Le Havre Probability of Both Teams to Score: 53% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 60%