Match Overview
Le Havre and Saint-Étienne are set to face off in a pivotal Ligue 1 match that could have significant implications for their respective seasons. Both teams are currently navigating through a challenging campaign, and a win here could provide a much-needed boost. The match will take place at the Stade Océane, with kick-off scheduled for 16:15 on March 9, 2025.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Le Havre slightly favored at 2.29, a draw at 3.33, and Saint-Étienne at 2.87. This translates to a probability of approximately 43.7% for a Le Havre win, 30.0% for a draw, and 34.8% for a Saint-Étienne victory. The odds indicate a tight match, with Le Havre having a slight edge due to home advantage.
Team Analysis
Le Havre
- Current Form: Le Havre has shown resilience this season, with an average of 0.96 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding 2.08 goals on average.
- Strengths: Strong in duels (187.67 per match) and interceptions (43.5 per match), indicating a robust defensive setup.
- Weaknesses: Struggles in attack with only 0.96 goals per game and a low assist rate of 0.46.
Saint-Étienne
- Current Form: Saint-Étienne has been slightly more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1 goal per match.
- Strengths: Better passing accuracy with 436.67 passes per match and a higher possession rate of 44.67%.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties are evident, conceding 2.33 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two sides have been competitive, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical battle will likely be intense, with Le Havre focusing on defensive solidity and Saint-Étienne looking to exploit their passing game.
Key Players Spotlight
Le Havre
- André Ayew: With 4 goals this season, Ayew is a key attacking threat.
- Gautier Lloris: A defensive stalwart with 181.71 points, crucial for Le Havre's backline.
Saint-Étienne
- Zuriko Davitashvili: Leading scorer with 7 goals, pivotal in Saint-Étienne's attack.
- Gautier Larsonneur: Top performer with 216.54 points, vital for defensive stability.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Le Havre averages 8.75 shots per game, while Saint-Étienne averages 9.46, indicating a slight edge in attacking intent for the visitors.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar interception rates, but Saint-Étienne's higher goals conceded rate could be a concern.
- Possession and Passing: Saint-Étienne's superior passing and possession stats suggest they might control the midfield battle.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, this match is likely to be closely contested. Le Havre's home advantage and defensive resilience could be decisive, but Saint-Étienne's attacking prowess cannot be underestimated. Key factors will include Le Havre's ability to contain Davitashvili and Saint-Étienne's defensive organization.
Final Score Prediction: Le Havre 1-1 Saint-Étienne Half Time Score Prediction: Le Havre 0-0 Saint-Étienne Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 58.33%