Match Overview
Lens and Saint-Étienne are set to clash in a pivotal Ligue 1 match that holds significant implications for both teams. Lens, currently enjoying a solid season, will look to leverage their home advantage at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Meanwhile, Saint-Étienne, fighting to climb the league table, will aim to disrupt Lens's momentum.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for Lens, with odds of 1.8 for a home win, translating to a 55.56% probability. A draw is priced at 3.68, indicating a 27.17% chance, while Saint-Étienne's odds of 4.07 suggest a 24.57% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Lens is expected to emerge victorious, but Saint-Étienne's potential for an upset cannot be discounted.
Team Analysis
Lens
- Current Form: Lens has played 26 matches this season, with a moderate success rate in terms of goals and assists.
- Strengths: Lens boasts a strong possession game (51.77%) and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.12 goals per match.
- Weaknesses: Their offensive output is somewhat limited, with only 1.19 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Lens has had the upper hand against Saint-Étienne, which could play a psychological role.
Saint-Étienne
- Current Form: Saint-Étienne has played 25 matches, showing a higher tendency for matches with over 2.5 goals (52%).
- Strengths: Their ability to score (1 goal per match) and create chances (expected goals of 1.22) is notable.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with 2.28 goals conceded per match.
- Head-to-Head: Saint-Étienne will need to overcome their historical struggles against Lens.
Key Players Spotlight
Lens
- Kevin Danso: A defensive stalwart with 279.25 points this season.
- M'Bala Nzola: Leading goal scorer with 6 goals.
Saint-Étienne
- Zuriko Davitashvili: Top scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Saint-Étienne's attack.
- Gautier Larsonneur: Key defensive player with 224.92 points.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Lens averages 12.15 shots per game, with 4.15 on target, while Saint-Étienne averages 9.56 shots, with 3.32 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Lens's defense is more robust, with fewer goals conceded and higher interception rates.
- Possession and Passing: Lens's possession and passing accuracy are superior, which could dictate the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Lens is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. However, Saint-Étienne's ability to score and their higher rate of matches with over 2.5 goals suggest they could pose a threat. Key factors will include Lens's defensive solidity and Saint-Étienne's attacking prowess.
Final Score Prediction: Lens 2-1 Saint-Étienne Half Time Score Prediction: Lens 1-0 Saint-Étienne Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%