MATCH OVERVIEW
The Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Nice is set to take place at the Stade Saint-Symphorien, with kickoff scheduled for 16:15 on November 9th, 2025. This match holds significant importance for both teams as they navigate through the season, with Nice looking to capitalize on their strong start and Metz aiming to climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for Nice, with odds of 1.79 indicating a higher probability of an away win. Metz, with odds of 4.06, are considered underdogs, while the draw is priced at 3.64. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 55.9% for a Nice win, 24.5% for a draw, and 19.6% for a Metz victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Metz
Metz has struggled this season, with an average of 0.67 goals per match and a high average of 2.89 goals conceded. Their possession rate stands at 50.78%, and they have shown vulnerability in defense, as indicated by their Expected Goals Against of 1.95. Despite these challenges, players like Jean-Philippe Gbamin and Fodé Ballo-Touré have been key contributors.
Nice
Nice has been more successful, averaging 1.56 goals per match and maintaining a solid defensive record with 1.67 goals conceded. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an Expected Goals of 1.23 and a higher possession rate of 49.22%. Sofiane Diop has been a standout performer, contributing significantly to their attacking prowess.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Metz
- Jean-Philippe Gbamin: A crucial player for Metz, contributing defensively and offensively.
- Gauthier Hein: With 1 goal this season, Hein is a key attacking threat.
Nice
- Sofiane Diop: Leading Nice's attack with 5 goals, Diop is a player to watch.
- Terem Moffi: With 2 goals, Moffi adds depth to Nice's forward line.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Metz: Average 6.89 shots per match, with 2.22 on target. Their Expected Goals is 0.9.
- Nice: Average 10.89 shots per match, with 4.11 on target. Their Expected Goals is 1.23.
Possession and Passing
- Metz: Average 456.44 passes per match, with a success rate of 393.
- Nice: Average 426.22 passes per match, with a success rate of 355.33.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Nice is likely to dominate the match, given their superior offensive and defensive statistics. Metz will need to improve their defensive organization to counter Nice's attacking threats. The key to victory for Nice will be maintaining their possession and exploiting Metz's defensive weaknesses.
Final Score Prediction
Nice is expected to win with a scoreline of 2-1, leveraging their attacking strength and Metz's defensive vulnerabilities.
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