MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Ligue 1 match between Nice and Brest promises to be a captivating encounter, with both teams eager to secure vital points as the season nears its conclusion. Nice, playing at home, will look to leverage their strong form and home advantage to overcome Brest, who have shown resilience and determination throughout the campaign. The Allianz Riviera will host this exciting clash, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on May 17, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Nice, with a home win priced at 1.46, indicating a strong probability of victory. The draw is set at 4.6, while Brest's chances of an upset are at 6.03. These odds suggest a 68.5% probability for Nice to win, a 21.7% chance for a draw, and a 16.6% likelihood for Brest to triumph. Given Nice's home advantage and superior form, they are expected to emerge victorious.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Nice
Nice have been impressive this season, with an average of 1.82 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.33%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a 57.58% over 2.5 goals rate and a 69.7% both teams to score rate. Defensively, they concede 1.24 goals per game, supported by strong interception and clearance statistics.
Brest
Brest have also performed well, averaging 1.58 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 48.3%. Their over 2.5 goals rate stands at 60.61%, with a 57.58% both teams to score rate. Brest's defense, however, concedes 1.61 goals per game, which could be a concern against Nice's potent attack.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Nice have had the upper hand in this fixture, often capitalizing on their home advantage. Brest will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Nice
- Evann Guessand: With 11 goals this season, Guessand is a key figure in Nice's attack.
- Gaëtan Laborde: Another crucial player, contributing 9 goals.
Brest
- Ludovic Ajorque: Brest's top scorer with 13 goals, Ajorque will be pivotal in their offensive efforts.
- Romain Del Castillo: With 6 goals, Del Castillo adds depth to Brest's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Nice average 13.15 shots per game, with 5.42 on target.
- Brest average 11.39 shots per game, with 4.76 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Nice's interceptions average at 40.73 per game, while Brest's are slightly higher at 42.12.
- Nice's clearances stand at 4.76, compared to Brest's 6.
Possession and Passing
- Nice average 437.27 passes per game, with a success rate of 367.79.
- Brest average 424.85 passes per game, with a success rate of 357.06.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Nice are likely to win, leveraging their home advantage and superior offensive capabilities. Key factors include their higher goal-scoring rate and solid defensive performance. Brest will need to counter Nice's attack effectively to stand a chance.
Final Score Prediction
Nice 2-1 Brest
Half Time Score Prediction
Nice 1-0 Brest
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 68.5%
- Away Win: 16.6%
- Draw: 21.7%
- Both Teams to Score: 69.7%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 57.58%