Match Overview
Saint-Étienne and Brest face off in a pivotal Ligue 1 match that promises excitement and drama. With both teams looking to secure a favorable result, this encounter is set to be a defining moment in their respective seasons. The match will be held at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, a venue known for its electric atmosphere, adding to the intensity of the clash.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Brest slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Home Win: 3.29
- Draw: 3.56
- Away Win: 2.09
These odds translate to probabilities of approximately 30.4% for a Saint-Étienne victory, 28.1% for a draw, and 41.5% for a Brest win. Given Brest's slight edge, they are expected to come out on top, but the close odds indicate that Saint-Étienne could still pose a significant challenge.
Team Analysis
Saint-Étienne
- Current Form: Struggling defensively, conceding an average of 2.42 goals per match.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (70.2%) and solid interception numbers (43.62 per match).
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with a high expected goals against (2.37).
- Tactical Approach: Likely to focus on counter-attacks, leveraging their dribbling ability and speed.
Brest
- Current Form: More balanced, with a better defensive record, conceding 1.56 goals per match.
- Strengths: Strong offensive metrics, including 1.56 goals per match and a high expected goals (1.59).
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower possession rate (49%) compared to top teams.
- Tactical Approach: Expect a possession-based game, utilizing their passing accuracy and offensive prowess.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Brest has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Saint-Étienne's home advantage could play a crucial role in this fixture.
Key Players Spotlight
Saint-Étienne
- Lucas Stassin: Top scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Saint-Étienne's attacking threat.
- Zuriko Davitashvili: Also with 7 goals, adds depth to the offensive line.
Brest
- Ludovic Ajorque: Leading the charge with 10 goals, a key figure in Brest's attack.
- Romain Del Castillo: Provides additional firepower with 5 goals.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Comparison: Brest averages 1.56 goals per match, while Saint-Étienne manages 1.0.
- Defensive Comparison: Saint-Étienne concedes 2.42 goals per match, significantly higher than Brest's 1.56.
- Possession and Passing: Brest's passing accuracy and possession are slightly superior, which could influence the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Brest appears to have the upper hand, particularly with their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Key factors such as Ludovic Ajorque's form and Brest's balanced play could be decisive. Expect a closely contested match, but Brest's edge in quality might see them through.
Final Score Prediction: Brest 2-1 Saint-Étienne Half Time Score Prediction: Brest 1-0 Saint-Étienne Both Teams to Score Probability: 55% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%