MATCH OVERVIEW
Amiens SC will host Bastia in a pivotal Ligue 2 match that could significantly impact their standings in the league. Both teams have shown varying forms this season, with Amiens SC looking to capitalize on their home ground advantage at Stade de la Licorne. The match is scheduled for September 12, 2025, at 18:00, and is expected to draw considerable attention from fans and analysts alike.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive fixture, with Bastia slightly favored to win at 2.14 compared to Amiens SC's 3.18. The draw is priced at 3.37, indicating a closely contested match. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 31.4% for Amiens SC to win, 28.7% for a draw, and 46.7% for Bastia to secure victory. Given these odds, Bastia appears to have a slight edge, but Amiens SC's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Amiens SC has had a mixed start to the season, averaging 1.5 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 44.5%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a 50% over 2.5 goals percentage and a 75% both teams to score percentage. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.25 goals per game, which they will need to tighten against Bastia.
Bastia, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.67 goals per match. However, their possession rate of 49.33% and defensive rating of 275.82 suggest they can control the game and limit Amiens SC's chances. Bastia's ability to intercept and clear the ball effectively will be crucial in this matchup.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Amiens SC, Teddy Averlant has been a standout performer, scoring 2 goals this season. His ability to find the net will be vital against Bastia's defense. Rayan Lutin and Josué Chibozo also add depth to Amiens SC's attacking options.
Bastia will rely on Amine Boutrah and Jérémy Sebas, both of whom have scored this season. Their contributions will be essential in breaking down Amiens SC's defense and securing a win.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Amiens SC's offensive metrics, including 7.5 shots per game and 3 shots on target, highlight their attacking intent. Their dribbling success rate of 64.38% could be a key factor in penetrating Bastia's defense.
Bastia's defensive prowess is evident in their 33.67 interceptions per game and a higher defensive rating compared to Amiens SC. Their ability to win duels and clearances will be crucial in maintaining their defensive structure.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Bastia holds a slight advantage with a 46.7% probability of winning. However, Amiens SC's home advantage and offensive capabilities could lead to a closely contested match. Key factors such as Teddy Averlant's form and Bastia's defensive resilience will likely determine the outcome.
Final Score Prediction: Amiens SC 1-2 Bastia Half Time Score Prediction: Amiens SC 0-1 Bastia Probability of Both Teams to Score: 75% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 50%
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