Match Overview
Guingamp and Clermont face off in a pivotal Ligue 2 match that could have lasting effects on their season standings. Guingamp, with a strong home record, will look to capitalize on their offensive prowess, while Clermont aims to disrupt their hosts' rhythm and secure valuable points.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a favorable outcome for Guingamp, with a 1.77 chance of winning, translating to a 56.5% probability. The draw is priced at 3.3, indicating a 30.3% chance, while Clermont's odds of 4.14 reflect a 24.2% probability of victory. Based on these odds, Guingamp is expected to dominate, but Clermont's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
Team Analysis
Guingamp
- Current Form: Guingamp has shown consistency with an average of 1.6 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.28 goals on average.
- Strengths: Strong offensive metrics with 12.12 shots per game and a high possession rate of 52.12%.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to counter-attacks, as indicated by their 4.72 dangerous own half losses.
Clermont
- Current Form: Clermont struggles offensively, averaging only 0.88 goals per match, but maintains a competitive defense with 1.29 goals conceded on average.
- Strengths: Effective in dribbling with 19.96 successful dribbles per game and a solid defensive setup.
- Weaknesses: Lack of creativity in the final third, with only 1.88 key passes per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Guingamp has had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage to secure wins. Clermont will need to break this trend to gain a favorable result.
Tactical Approaches
Guingamp is likely to adopt an attacking approach, utilizing their high possession and shot metrics to press Clermont's defense. Conversely, Clermont may focus on a counter-attacking strategy, relying on their dribbling skills to exploit any defensive lapses by Guingamp.
Key Players Spotlight
Guingamp
- J. Siwe: Leading scorer with 9 goals, crucial for breaking down Clermont's defense.
- Théo Le Bris: A key playmaker with a high CompaScore rating of 198.87.
Clermont
- Jérémy Jacquet: A versatile player with 159.82 points, contributing both defensively and offensively.
- Maïdine Douane: Joint top scorer with 3 goals, pivotal in Clermont's attacking plays.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Guingamp averages 1.6 goals and 4.8 shots on target per game, while Clermont manages 0.88 goals and 3.71 shots on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive records, with Guingamp conceding 1.28 goals and Clermont 1.29 goals per match.
- Possession and Passing: Guingamp's superior passing accuracy and possession (52.12%) could be decisive against Clermont's 51.75% possession.
Prediction and Conclusion
Guingamp's offensive strength and home advantage make them favorites to win this encounter. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Clermont's chances hinge on their defensive resilience and ability to counter-attack effectively.
Final Score Prediction: Guingamp 2-1 Clermont Half Time Score Prediction: Guingamp 1-0 Clermont Both Teams to Score Probability: 45% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%