Match Overview
The clash between Red Star and Amiens SC is set to be a pivotal moment in the Ligue 2 season. Both teams are in the hunt for valuable points that could influence their standings as the season progresses. Red Star, with their home advantage, will look to capitalize on their familiarity with Stade Bauer, while Amiens SC aims to disrupt their plans with a strong away performance.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Red Star, with odds of 1.82 for a home win, translating to a 54.9% probability. The draw is priced at 3.3, indicating a 30.3% chance, while an Amiens SC victory is at 3.9, giving them a 25.6% probability. The odds reflect a competitive match, with Red Star favored but not overwhelmingly so.
Team Analysis
Red Star
- Current Form: Red Star has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.04 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.32%.
- Strengths: Strong dribbling ability with 16.68 successful dribbles per match and a solid passing game with 369.96 successful passes.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.
Amiens SC
- Current Form: Amiens SC matches Red Star in goal-scoring with 1.04 goals per match but has a lower possession rate at 45.4%.
- Strengths: Effective in duels, winning 103.72 per match, and a slightly better defensive record with 1.52 goals conceded.
- Weaknesses: Lower passing accuracy and possession could be exploited by Red Star.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two sides have been closely contested, with neither team dominating the other. This trend is expected to continue, given their similar statistics this season.
Tactical Approaches
Red Star is likely to focus on maintaining possession and utilizing their dribbling skills to break down Amiens SC's defense. In contrast, Amiens SC may adopt a more counter-attacking approach, leveraging their strength in duels and defensive solidity.
Key Players Spotlight
Red Star
- Aliou Badji: Leading scorer with 6 goals, crucial for Red Star's attacking play.
- Robin Risser: Key defensive figure with a high CompaScore rating.
Amiens SC
- Louis Mafouta & Antoine Leautey: Both have scored 7 goals, making them significant threats in attack.
- Kylian Kaïboue: A versatile player contributing both in defense and attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Red Star averages 9.8 shots per match, while Amiens SC has a slightly higher average of 10.76.
- Defensive Metrics: Amiens SC has a better clearance rate with 6.2 per match compared to Red Star's 3.64.
- Passing and Possession: Red Star's superior passing accuracy and possession could be decisive.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Red Star holds a slight advantage due to their home ground and better possession stats. However, Amiens SC's resilience and goal-scoring capabilities cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely include Red Star's ability to control the game and Amiens SC's effectiveness on the counter-attack. A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Red Star edging out a narrow victory.