Match Overview
The clash between Red Star and Guingamp is set to be a pivotal moment in the Ligue 2 season. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as they approach the latter stages of the campaign. Red Star, playing at home, will be eager to leverage their home advantage, while Guingamp will aim to capitalize on their superior form.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive fixture, with Guingamp slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Home Win: 3.03
- Draw: 3.29
- Away Win: 2.29
These odds translate to probabilities of approximately 33% for a Red Star victory, 30% for a draw, and 37% for a Guingamp win. The odds indicate a tight contest, but Guingamp's edge in form and statistics could see them emerge victorious.
Team Analysis
Red Star
- Current Form: Red Star has struggled this season, with an average of 0.96 goals per match and a concerning 1.63 goals conceded per game.
- Strengths: Possession play (52.04%), successful dribbles (16.63 per match).
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, with a high expected goals against (1.67).
Guingamp
- Current Form: Guingamp has been more consistent, averaging 1.63 goals per match and conceding 1.21.
- Strengths: Offensive capabilities, with a higher expected goals (1.45) and shots on target (4.83 per match).
- Weaknesses: Slightly vulnerable in defense, though better than Red Star.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Guingamp has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could play a psychological role in this fixture.
Tactical Approaches
- Red Star: Likely to focus on maintaining possession and exploiting dribbling skills to break down Guingamp's defense.
- Guingamp: Expected to adopt an attacking approach, leveraging their superior offensive metrics to pressure Red Star's defense.
Key Players Spotlight
Red Star
- Aliou Badji: Top scorer with 6 goals, crucial for Red Star's attacking threat.
- Robin Risser: Key defensive player with significant contributions.
Guingamp
- J. Siwe: Leading scorer with 9 goals, pivotal in Guingamp's attack.
- Théo Le Bris: Influential in midfield, contributing to both defense and attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Guingamp leads with 12.33 shots per match compared to Red Star's 9.79.
- Defensive Metrics: Guingamp's defense is more robust, conceding fewer goals and having a lower expected goals against.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Guingamp appears to have the upper hand due to their superior offensive and defensive statistics. Key factors such as Guingamp's attacking prowess and Red Star's defensive vulnerabilities could determine the outcome. Expect Guingamp to edge out a victory in a closely contested match.
Final Score Prediction: Guingamp 2-1 Red Star Half Time Score Prediction: Guingamp 1-0 Red Star Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%