MATCH OVERVIEW
Borussia Dortmund II will face Energie Cottbus in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could have significant implications for both teams' seasons. With the match set to take place at Borussia Dortmund II's home ground, the stakes are high as both teams look to secure vital points. Scheduled for April 13, 2025, at 14:30, this encounter is expected to draw attention from fans and analysts alike.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Energie Cottbus slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Home win: 2.81
- Draw: 3.67
- Away win: 2.33
These odds translate to probabilities of approximately:
- Home win: 35.6%
- Draw: 27.2%
- Away win: 37.2%
Given these probabilities, Energie Cottbus is expected to have a slight edge, but Borussia Dortmund II's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Borussia Dortmund II
Borussia Dortmund II has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.42 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.65%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their average of 12.42 shots per game, with 4.87 on target. However, they have conceded an average of 1.48 goals per match, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.
Energie Cottbus
Energie Cottbus has been more consistent, averaging 1.77 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 51.1%. Their offensive prowess is evident with 14.1 shots per game, 6.19 of which are on target. Defensively, they have conceded 1.26 goals per match, showcasing a more solid backline compared to their opponents.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, with Energie Cottbus often having the upper hand. However, Borussia Dortmund II's home advantage could level the playing field.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Borussia Dortmund II
- Julian Hettwer: With 11 goals this season, Hettwer is a key offensive threat.
- Marcel Lotka: His defensive contributions have been crucial, with 168.86 points this season.
Energie Cottbus
- Timmy Thiele: Leading the scoring charts with 13 goals, Thiele is a player to watch.
- Tolcay Cigerci: With 12 goals, Cigerci adds depth to Cottbus's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Borussia Dortmund II averages 1.42 goals per match, while Energie Cottbus averages 1.77.
- Energie Cottbus has a higher shots on target average (6.19) compared to Dortmund II (4.87).
Defensive Metrics
- Borussia Dortmund II concedes 1.48 goals per match, whereas Energie Cottbus concedes 1.26.
- Energie Cottbus has a slightly better defensive rating, with fewer dangerous own half losses.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Energie Cottbus appears to have a slight advantage, particularly in offensive and defensive metrics. However, Borussia Dortmund II's home advantage and key players could influence the outcome.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 Energie Cottbus
- Half Time: Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 Energie Cottbus
Match-Winning Factors
- Energie Cottbus's superior possession and goal-scoring ability.
- Borussia Dortmund II's potential to leverage home advantage and key player performances.
In conclusion, while Energie Cottbus is favored, Borussia Dortmund II's resilience and home support could make this a closely contested match.