MATCH OVERVIEW
Erzgebirge Aue will host Ingolstadt in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could shape the trajectory of their season. With both teams having played 15 matches, they are keen to secure a win to bolster their positions. Erzgebirge Aue, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Erzgebirgsstadion to gain an advantage over Ingolstadt.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds suggest a closely contested match, with Erzgebirge Aue having a slight disadvantage at 2.65 compared to Ingolstadt's 2.4. The draw is priced at 3.5, indicating a competitive game. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 37.7% for Aue to win, 28.6% for a draw, and 41.7% for Ingolstadt to emerge victorious.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Erzgebirge Aue
- Current Form: Erzgebirge Aue has shown mixed results, with a moderate goal-scoring record of 1.07 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is impressive at 11.87 per match, and they maintain a solid defensive structure with 39.87 interceptions.
- Weaknesses: Aue's defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.53 goals per match.
Ingolstadt
- Current Form: Ingolstadt has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.6 goals per match.
- Strengths: They excel in possession with 51.6% and have a higher expected goals rate of 1.99.
- Weaknesses: Despite their offensive prowess, Ingolstadt concedes 1.47 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these teams have been tightly contested, with both sides having their share of victories.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Erzgebirge Aue
- Julian Guttau: Leading scorer with 4 goals, pivotal in Aue's attacking setup.
- Martin Männel: Key defensive player with 126.89 points.
Ingolstadt
- Marcel Costly: Top performer with 177.63 points, contributing both defensively and offensively.
- Dennis Kaygin: Joint top scorer with 4 goals, crucial for Ingolstadt's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Ingolstadt leads with 14.73 shots per match compared to Aue's 13.4.
- Defensive Metrics: Aue has a slight edge in interceptions, but Ingolstadt's goalkeeper saves are higher at 4 per match.
- Possession and Passing: Ingolstadt's superior passing accuracy and possession could be decisive.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Ingolstadt appears to have a slight edge, particularly in offensive capabilities. However, Aue's home advantage and defensive resilience could make this a closely fought contest.
Final Score Prediction
Ingolstadt to win 2-1, with a half-time score of 1-1. Both teams are likely to score, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals.
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