Match Overview
The upcoming clash between Hansa Rostock and Saarbrücken in the 3. Liga is set to be a pivotal match in the race for promotion. Both teams are in the hunt for a top-three finish, making this encounter crucial for their playoff aspirations. The Ostseestadion will host this exciting fixture, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 GMT.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Hansa Rostock slightly favored at 2.36, while Saarbrücken is priced at 2.91. The draw stands at 3.31, indicating a competitive match with no clear favorite. The probabilities derived from these odds are:
- Home Win: 42.37%
- Draw: 30.21%
- Away Win: 34.42%
Given these odds, the match is expected to be tightly contested, with Hansa Rostock having a slight edge due to home advantage.
Team Analysis
Hansa Rostock
Hansa Rostock has shown a balanced form this season, with a possession rate of 50.21% and an average of 1.43 goals per match. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 12.57 shots per game, with 4.75 on target. Defensively, they concede 1.25 goals per match, indicating a solid backline.
- Strengths: Effective dribbling (15.89 successful dribbles), solid passing (299.5 successful passes), and a high interception rate (47.79).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (6.61 per match).
Saarbrücken
Saarbrücken boasts a slightly higher possession rate at 50.76% and averages 1.48 goals per match. Their offensive prowess is evident with 13.21 shots per game, 4.76 of which are on target. Defensively, they are slightly more robust, conceding 1.14 goals per match.
- Strengths: High expected goals (1.72), effective long passing (32.21 successful long passes), and fewer dangerous own half losses (5.52).
- Weaknesses: Lower interception rate (40.34).
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their fair share of victories. The tactical approaches of both teams suggest a balanced game, with Hansa Rostock likely to focus on possession and Saarbrücken on exploiting counter-attacks.
Key Players Spotlight
Hansa Rostock
- Sigurd Haugen: Leading goal scorer with 8 goals, crucial for Hansa's attacking play.
- Ahmet Gürleyen: Key defensive player with 125.51 points.
Saarbrücken
- Kai Brünker: Top scorer with 7 goals, vital for Saarbrücken's offensive strategy.
- Patrick Sontheimer: Standout performer with 147.6 points.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Hansa Rostock: 1.43 goals per match, 12.57 shots, 4.75 on target.
- Saarbrücken: 1.48 goals per match, 13.21 shots, 4.76 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Hansa Rostock: 1.25 goals conceded, 47.79 interceptions.
- Saarbrücken: 1.14 goals conceded, 40.34 interceptions.
Possession and Passing
- Hansa Rostock: 50.21% possession, 299.5 successful passes.
- Saarbrücken: 50.76% possession, 314.52 successful passes.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, this match is expected to be a closely fought contest with both teams having the potential to secure victory. Key factors such as home advantage for Hansa Rostock and Saarbrücken's slightly better defensive record could play a decisive role.
- Final Score Prediction: 2-1 in favor of Hansa Rostock
- Half Time Score Prediction: 1-1
- Both Teams to Score Probability: 53.57%
- Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50%
In conclusion, while Hansa Rostock holds a slight edge, Saarbrücken's resilience could lead to a surprise outcome. Fans can expect an engaging match with potential playoff implications.