MATCH OVERVIEW
The clash between Ingolstadt and Hoffenheim II in the 3. Liga is set to be a pivotal match in the current season. Ingolstadt, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their solid form and home advantage to secure a win against Hoffenheim II, who have been impressive on the road. This match is crucial for both teams as they look to climb the league standings and secure a favorable position.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Ingolstadt having odds of 2.65 to win, while Hoffenheim II is slightly favored with odds of 2.3. The draw is priced at 3.7, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a realistic chance of securing points. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 37.7% for an Ingolstadt win, 27% for a draw, and 43.5% for a Hoffenheim II victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ingolstadt
Ingolstadt has shown a consistent performance this season, with an average of 1.71 goals per match and a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 85.71%. Their offensive play is supported by an average of 14.79 shots per game, with 6.14 on target, indicating a strong attacking presence. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.5 goals per match, which they will need to improve against Hoffenheim II's potent attack.
Hoffenheim II
Hoffenheim II boasts a slightly higher average of 2.08 goals per match, with a solid possession rate of 52.23%. Their ability to score is complemented by their defensive resilience, conceding 1.46 goals per match. Hoffenheim II's offensive rating of 511.18 suggests they are capable of breaking down Ingolstadt's defense, making this an intriguing tactical battle.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ingolstadt
- Dennis Kaygin: With 4 goals this season, Kaygin is a key player for Ingolstadt's attack.
- Marcel Costly: Also with 4 goals, Costly's performance will be crucial in breaking down Hoffenheim II's defense.
Hoffenheim II
- Paul Hennrich: Leading the scoring charts with 7 goals, Hennrich is a significant threat to Ingolstadt's defense.
- Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab: Matching Hennrich's tally, Amaimouni-Echghouyab's form will be vital for Hoffenheim II.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Ingolstadt: Average Expected Goals of 2.07 and Expected Goals Against of 1.59.
- Hoffenheim II: Average Expected Goals of 1.74 and Expected Goals Against of 1.61.
Possession and Passing
- Ingolstadt: Average possession of 51.5% with 426.5 passes per match.
- Hoffenheim II: Slightly higher possession at 52.23% with 418.23 passes per match.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hoffenheim II appears to have a slight edge due to their higher goal-scoring ability and offensive rating. However, Ingolstadt's home advantage and strong attacking statistics suggest they will be competitive. The match-winning factors will likely include Ingolstadt's ability to capitalize on their chances and Hoffenheim II's defensive organization.
Final Score Prediction: Ingolstadt 2-2 Hoffenheim II Half Time Score Prediction: Ingolstadt 1-1 Hoffenheim II Probability of Both Teams to Score: 80% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 70%
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