MATCH OVERVIEW
Ulm and MSV Duisburg face off in a crucial 3. Liga match that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. Ulm, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to secure vital points. Meanwhile, MSV Duisburg, with their strong away form, will look to continue their push up the league table. The match is set to kick off at 12:30 PM on February 1, 2026, at Ulm's home stadium.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with MSV Duisburg slightly favored to win at 1.95, compared to Ulm's 3.2. The draw is priced at 3.9, indicating a moderate likelihood. Based on these odds, Duisburg has a higher probability of securing a victory, but Ulm's home advantage could play a pivotal role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ulm
- Current Form: Ulm has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 18 matches played.
- Strengths: Ulm's offensive play is highlighted by their high Over 2.5 Goals Percentage (83.33%) and Both Teams To Score Percentage (72.22%).
- Weaknesses: Defensively, Ulm has struggled, conceding an average of 2.44 goals per match.
- Tactics: Ulm's tactical approach focuses on maintaining possession (51.17%) and creating opportunities through dribbles and crosses.
MSV Duisburg
- Current Form: Duisburg has been consistent, playing 20 matches with a strong offensive output.
- Strengths: Duisburg's defense is robust, conceding only 1.1 goals per match, and their Expected Goals Against is low at 0.95.
- Weaknesses: Duisburg's possession is lower (45.75%), which might affect their control in the midfield.
- Tactics: Duisburg relies on quick transitions and effective use of set-pieces, as indicated by their high corner count.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ulm
- Elias Löder: Top scorer with 6 goals, Löder is crucial for Ulm's attacking threat.
- Dominik Martinovic: A key playmaker with significant points contribution.
MSV Duisburg
- Patrick Sussek & Conor Noß: Both have scored 6 goals, making them vital for Duisburg's offensive play.
- Lex-Tyger Lobinger: A consistent performer with high points tally.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Ulm averages 1.33 goals per match, while Duisburg averages 1.8, indicating a potential edge for Duisburg in attack.
- Defensive Metrics: Duisburg's defense is stronger, with fewer goals conceded and a higher defensive rating.
- Possession and Passing: Ulm's higher possession and passing accuracy could help them control the game tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, MSV Duisburg appears to have a slight edge due to their superior defensive record and consistent scoring. However, Ulm's home advantage and offensive capabilities cannot be underestimated. The match could be decided by key individual performances and tactical adjustments.
Final Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of MSV Duisburg. Half Time Score Prediction: 0-1. Both Teams to Score Probability: 70%. Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 75%.
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