MATCH OVERVIEW
Ulm and Osnabrück are set to face off in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. Ulm, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Osnabrück, with their strong away form, will look to continue their impressive run. The match is scheduled for December 12, 2025, at 18:00, and will be held at Ulm's home stadium.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a challenging game for Ulm, with odds of 3.9 for a home win, 3.7 for a draw, and 1.8 for an Osnabrück victory. These odds indicate a 25.64% probability for Ulm to win, a 27.03% chance for a draw, and a 55.56% likelihood for Osnabrück to emerge victorious. Given these figures, Osnabrück is favored to win, but Ulm's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ulm
Ulm's season has been characterized by a high-scoring approach, with an average of 1.36 goals per match and a remarkable 85.71% of their games featuring over 2.5 goals. Their offensive prowess is evident in their average of 11.5 shots per game and 3.79 shots on target. However, defensively, they have struggled, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per match.
Osnabrück
Osnabrück has been more balanced, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.73 goals per game. Their offensive output is slightly lower than Ulm's, averaging 1.27 goals per match. Osnabrück's ability to maintain possession and control the game is reflected in their 47.8% possession rate.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Osnabrück has had the upper hand in this fixture, often coming out on top in previous encounters. Ulm will need to break this trend to secure a win.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ulm
- Elias Löder: With 4 goals this season, Löder is Ulm's top scorer and will be crucial in breaking down Osnabrück's defense.
- Dominik Martinovic: His overall contribution of 284.49 points highlights his importance to Ulm's attacking play.
Osnabrück
- Robin Meißner: Also with 4 goals, Meißner is a key figure in Osnabrück's attack.
- Bjarke Jacobsen: His 123.25 points and 3 goals make him a vital player in both offensive and defensive phases.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Ulm: High offensive rating of 355.29 but a weaker defensive rating of 197.23.
- Osnabrück: Balanced with an offensive rating of 380.11 and a strong defensive rating of 283.38.
Possession and Passing
- Ulm: Average possession of 51.43% and successful passes rate of 325.64.
- Osnabrück: Slightly lower possession at 47.8% but efficient passing with 307 successful passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Osnabrück is likely to win, given their superior odds and defensive strength. However, Ulm's attacking capabilities and home advantage could lead to a closely contested match. Key factors will include Ulm's ability to exploit Osnabrück's defense and Osnabrück's capacity to maintain their defensive solidity.
Final Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Osnabrück. Expect a competitive match with potential for both teams to score, given Ulm's high BTTS percentage.
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