MATCH OVERVIEW
The Bundesliga 2 clash between Greuther Fürth and Köln is set to be a pivotal match in the season, with both teams eager to secure a win. Greuther Fürth, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Köln. The match, scheduled for April 11, 2025, at 16:30, will be held at Greuther Fürth's home ground, adding to the excitement.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Köln slightly favored to win at odds of 2.11. Greuther Fürth's odds stand at 3.34, while a draw is priced at 3.37. This indicates a probability of approximately 47% for Köln to win, 30% for Greuther Fürth, and 23% for a draw. The odds reflect Köln's stronger form and higher CompaScore rating.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Greuther Fürth has shown a mixed form this season, with a possession rate of 45.11% and an average of 1.43 goals per match. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.86 goals on average. Köln, on the other hand, boasts a higher possession rate of 51.89% and a more robust defense, conceding only 1.18 goals per match. Head-to-head statistics favor Köln, who have a better overall performance in terms of passes and duels.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Greuther Fürth's Noel Futkeu, with 9 goals this season, will be a key player to watch. Julian Green and Branimir Hrgota also add depth to their attacking options. Köln's Damion Downs and Tim Lemperle, with 9 and 8 goals respectively, will be crucial in breaking down Fürth's defense. The matchup between Futkeu and Downs could be decisive.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Köln's offensive metrics, including 14.86 shots per game and 5.11 shots on target, surpass Greuther Fürth's 11.93 shots and 3.89 shots on target. Defensively, Köln's expected goals against (1.2) is lower than Fürth's (1.66), indicating a stronger defensive setup. Köln's higher CompaScore rating of 1975.52 compared to Fürth's 1536.62 further highlights their statistical advantage.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Köln is likely to emerge victorious, given their superior offensive and defensive statistics. Key factors such as possession, shots on target, and CompaScore ratings favor Köln. The final score prediction is a 2-1 win for Köln, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 60%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 67%.