MATCH OVERVIEW
Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV are set to face off in a crucial Bundesliga match at the PreZero Arena. Scheduled for December 13, 2025, at 14:30, this encounter holds significant importance for both teams as they aim to climb the league table. Hoffenheim, with a solid home record, will be keen to capitalize on their form, while Hamburger SV seeks to upset the hosts and gain valuable points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest Hoffenheim as the favorites with odds of 1.73, indicating a 57.8% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 4.07, translating to a 24.6% chance, while Hamburger SV's odds of 4.1 reflect a 24.4% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Hoffenheim is expected to dominate, but the possibility of a draw or an away win cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim has been impressive this season, averaging 2.08 goals per match and maintaining a 75% rate for both Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score. Their possession stands at 51.83%, showcasing their ability to control games. Defensively, they concede 1.42 goals per match, with an Expected Goals Against of 1.53, indicating a solid backline.
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV, on the other hand, averages 0.92 goals per match with a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate. Their possession is slightly lower at 49.75%, and they concede 1.42 goals per match, similar to Hoffenheim. Their Expected Goals Against is slightly higher at 1.64, suggesting potential defensive vulnerabilities.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Hoffenheim has had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage. However, Hamburger SV has shown resilience in past encounters, making this matchup unpredictable.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Hoffenheim
- Fisnik Asllani: Leading the scoring charts with 5 goals, Asllani is crucial to Hoffenheim's attacking prowess.
- Vladimír Coufal: With a rating of 325.86, Coufal's defensive contributions are vital.
Hamburger SV
- Rayan Philippe: Top scorer for Hamburger SV with 3 goals, Philippe will be key in breaking Hoffenheim's defense.
- Luka Vuskovic: A standout performer with 318.08 points, Vuskovic's defensive skills are essential.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Hoffenheim: Averaging 12.5 shots per match with 4.67 on target, their offensive efficiency is notable. Defensively, they make 44.33 interceptions per match.
- Hamburger SV: With 12.17 shots per match and 4.67 on target, their attack mirrors Hoffenheim's. They average 38 interceptions, indicating room for improvement.
Statistical Advantages
Hoffenheim's higher Expected Goals (1.74) compared to Hamburger SV's (1.51) suggests a more potent attack. Their superior possession and passing accuracy further bolster their chances.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hoffenheim is likely to secure a victory, leveraging their home advantage and superior attacking metrics. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
Hoffenheim 2-1 Hamburger SV
Half Time Score Prediction
Hoffenheim 1-0 Hamburger SV
Match-Winning Factors
- Hoffenheim's attacking depth and home advantage
- Hamburger SV's potential defensive lapses
In conclusion, while Hamburger SV poses a threat, Hoffenheim's form and statistics suggest they will emerge victorious in this Bundesliga clash.
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