Match Overview
Shamrock Rovers and Derry City are set to face off in a pivotal League of Ireland match that could shape the trajectory of their season. With Shamrock Rovers currently averaging 5 matches and Derry City 6, both teams are keen to improve their standings. The match will be held at Tallaght Stadium, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere, adding to the intensity of this clash.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Shamrock Rovers at 2.22, Draw at 3.12, and Derry City at 3.23. These odds suggest a competitive match, with Shamrock Rovers slightly favored to win. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 45%, while a draw is at 32%, and an away win at 31%. Based on these odds, Shamrock Rovers are expected to edge out Derry City, but the match could swing either way.
Team Analysis
Shamrock Rovers
- Current Form: Averaging 5 matches, Shamrock Rovers have shown consistency in their performance.
- Strengths: High possession rate of 54.4%, strong dribbling with 21.4 attempts, and a solid defensive line with 52.4 interceptions.
- Weaknesses: Average goals scored per match is 1, indicating a need for more clinical finishing.
Derry City
- Current Form: With 6 matches played, Derry City has demonstrated resilience.
- Strengths: Effective dribbling with 26.5 attempts and a robust defense with 131.5 defensive rating.
- Weaknesses: Lower goal-scoring rate at 0.83 per match, which could be a concern against Shamrock Rovers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Shamrock Rovers have had the upper hand in this fixture, but Derry City has shown they can compete fiercely, making this match unpredictable.
Tactical Approaches
Shamrock Rovers are likely to focus on maintaining possession and exploiting their dribbling skills, while Derry City may adopt a counter-attacking strategy, leveraging their defensive strengths.
Key Players Spotlight
Shamrock Rovers
- Graham Burke: With 2 goals this season, Burke is a key offensive player.
- Roberto Lopes: Leading with 61.01 points, Lopes is crucial in defense.
Derry City
- Michael Duffy: Top scorer with 4 goals, Duffy is pivotal in attack.
- Mark Connolly: With 68.92 points, Connolly is a defensive stalwart.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Shamrock Rovers: Average 14.2 shots per match, with 4.2 on target.
- Derry City: Average 10.83 shots per match, with 3.33 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Shamrock Rovers: Concede 1 goal per match, with 5.8 clearances.
- Derry City: Concede 1.33 goals per match, with 6.17 clearances.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Shamrock Rovers are slightly favored to win, given their home advantage and higher possession rate. Key match-winning factors include Shamrock Rovers' ability to convert possession into goals and Derry City's defensive resilience. The final score prediction is a narrow 2-1 victory for Shamrock Rovers, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 60%, and the match could see over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 40%.