MATCH OVERVIEW
Bologna and Napoli are set to face off in a pivotal Serie A match at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. With Napoli currently holding a slight edge in the odds, this game is crucial for both teams as they seek to solidify their positions in the league standings. The match is scheduled for November 9, 2025, at 14:00, and promises to be a captivating contest.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are as follows: Bologna at 2.99, Draw at 2.99, and Napoli at 2.43. These odds suggest a competitive game, with Napoli slightly favored to win. The probability of a Napoli victory is approximately 41.15%, while Bologna's chances stand at 33.44%, and a draw is at 33.44%. Given these odds, Napoli is expected to have a slight advantage, but Bologna's home performance could play a significant role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bologna
Bologna has shown a solid performance this season, with an average of 8 matches played. They have a 50% success rate in games with over 2.5 goals and a 37.5% rate for both teams scoring. Their possession stands at 57.13%, indicating a strong midfield presence. However, their expected goals against (1.46) suggest vulnerabilities in defense.
Napoli
Napoli, on the other hand, has played 9 matches with a higher percentage of games featuring over 2.5 goals (55.56%) and both teams scoring (55.56%). Their possession rate of 59.11% and expected goals of 1.91 highlight their offensive prowess. Napoli's defense is slightly more robust, with an expected goals against of 1.27.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Napoli has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, often leveraging their attacking strength to outscore Bologna. This trend may continue, given their current form and statistical advantages.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bologna
- Riccardo Orsolini: With 5 goals this season, Orsolini is a key offensive player for Bologna.
- Nicolò Cambiaghi: Contributing 2 goals, Cambiaghi adds depth to Bologna's attack.
Napoli
- Kevin De Bruyne: A pivotal figure with 4 goals, De Bruyne's playmaking skills are crucial for Napoli.
- Frank Anguissa: Also with 4 goals, Anguissa's versatility makes him a threat in both midfield and attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Bologna: Averaging 1.63 goals per match, Bologna's offensive rating is 800.86, while their defensive rating is 495.22.
- Napoli: With 1.78 goals per match, Napoli's offensive rating is 933.4, and their defensive rating is 484.53.
Possession and Passing
- Bologna: Successful passes average at 349.25, with a possession rate of 57.13%.
- Napoli: Successful passes average at 477.89, with a possession rate of 59.11%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Napoli is slightly favored to win, with a probability of 41.15%. Key factors include their superior offensive metrics and historical performance against Bologna. However, Bologna's home advantage and tactical adjustments could lead to a closely contested match.
Final Score Prediction
Napoli is expected to edge out Bologna with a final score of 2-1, while the half-time score might be 1-1. The probability for both teams to score is 55.56%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 55.56%.
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