Cagliari vs Lecce - Free AI Football Predictions with 80%+ Accuracy

MATCH OVERVIEW

Cagliari and Lecce face off in a pivotal Serie A match that could shape their respective campaigns. Cagliari, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage to climb the league table, while Lecce aims to upset the hosts and gain crucial away points. The match will take place at the Sardegna Arena, with a kickoff time of 19:45 on February 16, 2026.

ODDS ANALYSIS

The average odds for this match are 1.99 for a Cagliari win, 3.02 for a draw, and 4.00 for a Lecce victory. These odds suggest that Cagliari is the favorite, with a 50.3% implied probability of winning. The draw has a 33.1% chance, while Lecce's chances stand at 25%. Based on these odds, Cagliari is expected to have the upper hand, but Lecce's potential for an upset cannot be discounted.

TEAM ANALYSIS

Cagliari

Cagliari has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.22 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.04%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.35 goals per game. However, their offensive output could be improved, as indicated by their expected goals (xG) of 1.07 per match.

Lecce

Lecce, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.57 goals per game. Their defense has been slightly better, conceding 1.3 goals per match. With an expected goals against (xGA) of 1.51, Lecce will need to tighten their defense to withstand Cagliari's attacks.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Cagliari has had the upper hand in this fixture, often securing victories at home. However, Lecce has occasionally managed to pull off surprises, making this matchup intriguing.

KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT

Cagliari

• Semih Kılıçsoy: With 4 goals this season, Kılıçsoy is Cagliari's top scorer and a key player to watch.
• Elia Caprile: A standout performer with 303.54 points, Caprile's defensive contributions will be crucial.

Lecce

• Medon Berisha: Scoring 2 goals this season, Berisha will be vital in Lecce's attacking efforts.
• Wladimiro Falcone: With 232.74 points, Falcone's defensive skills will be essential in keeping Cagliari at bay.

STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE

• Cagliari: Average 9.52 shots per game with a 52.17% over 2.5 goals rate.
• Lecce: Average 9.13 shots per game with a 30.43% over 2.5 goals rate.
• Possession: Cagliari (45.04%) vs Lecce (45.87%)
• Defensive Ratings: Cagliari (422.08) vs Lecce (527.3)

PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION

Cagliari is favored to win this match, given their superior offensive capabilities and home advantage. However, Lecce's defensive resilience could pose challenges. Key factors will include Cagliari's ability to convert chances and Lecce's defensive organization.

Final Score Prediction: Cagliari 2-1 Lecce Half Time Score Prediction: Cagliari 1-0 Lecce Both Teams to Score Probability: 52% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%

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