Match Overview
The upcoming Serie A match between Monza and Empoli is set to be a decisive fixture in the league's closing stages. Both teams have had contrasting seasons, with Empoli showing stronger form and Monza struggling to find consistency. The match will be held at Monza's home ground, the U-Power Stadium, providing them with a slight advantage.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest Empoli as the favorites, with odds of 1.69 for an away win, translating to a probability of approximately 59.17%. Monza's odds of 4.96 indicate a 20.16% chance of a home victory, while the draw is priced at 3.64, giving it a 27.47% probability. These odds reflect Empoli's superior form and position in the league.
Team Analysis
Monza
- Current Form: Monza has struggled this season, with an average of 0.71 goals per match and conceding 1.8 goals.
- Strengths: Monza's dribbling ability is notable, with 18.14 dribbles per match and a success rate of 73.37%.
- Weaknesses: Their defense has been porous, conceding 1.8 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Monza has had a tough time against Empoli, with Empoli often coming out on top.
Empoli
- Current Form: Empoli has been more consistent, scoring 0.77 goals per match and conceding 1.57.
- Strengths: Empoli's defensive metrics are stronger, with 7.74 clearances per match.
- Weaknesses: Their offensive output is similar to Monza, with only 0.77 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Empoli has a favorable record against Monza, which could play into their confidence.
Key Players Spotlight
Monza
- Dany Mota: With 5 goals this season, Mota is Monza's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Pablo Marí: His defensive contributions are crucial, with a CompaScore of 215.21.
Empoli
- Sebastiano Esposito: Leading Empoli's attack with 8 goals, Esposito is a significant threat.
- Sebastian Walukiewicz: A defensive stalwart with a CompaScore of 295.39.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Monza averages 8.23 shots per game, while Empoli slightly edges them with 8.71.
- Defensive Metrics: Empoli's defense is more robust, with 7.74 clearances compared to Monza's 4.63.
- Possession: Monza holds a slight edge in possession with 48.11% compared to Empoli's 41.6%.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical analysis and current form, Empoli is likely to emerge victorious. Their defensive solidity and historical advantage over Monza are key factors. Monza's home advantage could make the match competitive, but Empoli's consistency should see them through.
- Final Score Prediction: Empoli 2-1 Monza
- Match-Winning Factors: Empoli's defensive strength and key player performances.
- Summary: Empoli's odds and form suggest a win, but Monza's home advantage could make it a close contest.