MATCH OVERVIEW
Napoli and Roma are set to face off in a crucial Serie A encounter that could have significant implications for both teams' standings in the league. Scheduled for February 15, 2026, at 19:45 GMT, the match will be held at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, a venue known for its electrifying atmosphere. As the season progresses, every point becomes vital, and both teams will be eager to secure a win.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Napoli, with odds of 2.21 for a home win, compared to 3.43 for a Roma victory and 3.07 for a draw. This translates to a probability of approximately 45.2% for Napoli to win, 29.2% for a draw, and 25.6% for Roma to claim victory. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Napoli favored to leverage their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Napoli
Napoli's current form shows a balanced approach with an average of 1.43 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.91 goals on average. Their possession rate of 56.13% highlights their ability to control the game, while their expected goals (xG) of 1.57 per match suggests they create quality scoring opportunities. However, their Both Teams To Score (BTTS) percentage of 43.48% indicates occasional defensive lapses.
Roma
Roma, on the other hand, have a slightly lower goal-scoring average of 1.17 per match but boast a stronger defensive record, conceding just 0.61 goals on average. Their possession rate is comparable to Napoli's at 55.52%, and their xG of 1.61 suggests they are capable of creating chances. Roma's BTTS percentage of 26.09% reflects their defensive solidity.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Napoli and Roma have been closely contested, with both teams having their share of victories. Napoli's home advantage could play a crucial role, but Roma's resilience on the road cannot be underestimated.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Napoli
- Rasmus Højlund: With 6 goals this season, Højlund is a key offensive threat for Napoli.
- Frank Anguissa: A versatile midfielder, Anguissa has contributed 4 goals and is crucial in both attack and defense.
Roma
- Matías Soulé: Leading Roma's attack with 6 goals, Soulé's form will be vital for their success.
- Donyell Malen: A dynamic forward, Malen's creativity and goal-scoring ability make him a player to watch.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Napoli averages 12.22 shots per match with 4.39 on target, while Roma averages 12.43 shots with 4.91 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Napoli's defense is slightly more porous, conceding 0.91 goals per match compared to Roma's 0.61.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams maintain high possession rates, with Napoli averaging 529.96 passes per match and Roma 490.52.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Napoli holds a slight advantage, especially with their home support. However, Roma's strong defense and ability to counter-attack could pose challenges. Key factors such as set-piece execution and individual brilliance could determine the outcome.
Final Score Prediction: Napoli 2-1 Roma Half Time Score Prediction: Napoli 1-0 Roma Probability for Both Teams to Score: 50% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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