MATCH OVERVIEW
Parma and Genoa are gearing up for a highly anticipated Serie A clash at Stadio Ennio Tardini. This match, set for January 18, 2026, is crucial for both teams as they look to improve their positions in the league standings. With the season progressing, every point counts, and both teams will be eager to secure a victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are quite balanced, with Parma at 2.76, a draw at 2.76, and Genoa at 2.83. This suggests a closely contested match, with the probabilities indicating a 36.2% chance for a home win, 36.2% for a draw, and 35.4% for an away win. The odds reflect the evenly matched nature of these teams, making it difficult to predict a clear favorite.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Parma
Parma has had a mixed season, with an average of 19 matches played. They have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.74 goals per game, but their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.16 goals per game. Their possession rate stands at 44.16%, indicating a need to control the game better.
Genoa
Genoa, on the other hand, has shown more attacking prowess, averaging 1 goal per game. However, their defense has been leakier, conceding 1.53 goals per game. With a possession rate of 48.68%, they have a slight edge in controlling the game compared to Parma.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Parma and Genoa have been closely contested, with both teams having their fair share of victories. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to this encounter.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Parma
- Mateo Pellegrino: With 6 goals this season, Pellegrino is Parma's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Adrián Bernabé: Contributing 2 goals, Bernabé's playmaking abilities will be crucial.
Genoa
- Lorenzo Colombo: Leading Genoa's attack with 4 goals, Colombo will be a significant threat to Parma's defense.
- Leo Ostigard: With 3 goals, Ostigard's defensive contributions and goal-scoring ability make him a key player.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Parma averages 10.58 shots per game, with 3.11 on target, while Genoa averages 9.95 shots, with 3.68 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Parma's defense has been slightly more robust, with 3.11 goalkeeper saves per game compared to Genoa's 2.89.
- Possession and Passing: Genoa's higher possession and passing accuracy could give them an edge in controlling the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be a tight contest. Parma's solid defense will be tested by Genoa's attacking capabilities. The key to victory could lie in the midfield battle and the ability to convert chances.
Final Score Prediction
Given the statistics and current form, a 1-1 draw seems a likely outcome, with both teams having a 42% probability of scoring. The probability for over 2.5 goals is 45%, indicating a moderate chance of a high-scoring game.
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