MATCH OVERVIEW
Venezia and Bologna are gearing up for a pivotal Serie A showdown that could shape the trajectory of their season. With Bologna currently enjoying a stronger position in the league, they will be looking to capitalize on their form and secure a vital away victory. Meanwhile, Venezia, playing at home, will be desperate to turn their fortunes around and climb out of the relegation zone. The match will take place at the historic Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, providing a picturesque backdrop for what promises to be an intense battle.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds are heavily in favor of Bologna, with an average of 1.72 for an away win, translating to a probability of approximately 58%. Venezia, on the other hand, faces long odds at 4.52, indicating a 22% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.76, suggesting a 27% likelihood. These odds reflect Bologna's superior form and the challenges Venezia has faced throughout the season.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Venezia
Venezia's season has been marred by inconsistency, as evidenced by their average of 0.82 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.54%. Their defense has been porous, conceding 1.5 goals per game, which has contributed to their struggles. Despite their challenges, Venezia has shown resilience in duels, averaging 200.36 per match, and their goalkeeper, Andrei Radu, has been a standout performer.
Bologna
Bologna has been a formidable force this season, boasting an average of 1.57 goals per match and a possession rate of 59%. Their defense has been solid, conceding only 1.21 goals per game. Bologna's offensive prowess is highlighted by their 12.54 shots per match and the contributions of Riccardo Orsolini, who has netted 9 goals this season.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Bologna has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outplaying Venezia with their tactical superiority and depth in squad quality. Venezia will need to leverage their home advantage and disrupt Bologna's rhythm to stand a chance.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Venezia
- Joel Pohjanpalo: With 6 goals this season, Pohjanpalo is Venezia's leading scorer and will be crucial in their attacking efforts.
- Andrei Radu: His goalkeeping skills have been vital for Venezia, making an average of 3.79 saves per match.
Bologna
- Riccardo Orsolini: A key player for Bologna, Orsolini has scored 9 goals and will be a constant threat to Venezia's defense.
- Santiago Castro: With 7 goals, Castro complements Orsolini in Bologna's attacking lineup.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Venezia: Average 9.36 shots per match, with 3.04 on target.
- Bologna: Average 12.54 shots per match, with 4.68 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Venezia: Concede 1.5 goals per match, with 39.64 interceptions.
- Bologna: Concede 1.21 goals per match, with 35.46 interceptions.
Possession and Passing
- Venezia: 45.54% possession, 352.25 passes per match.
- Bologna: 59% possession, 463.25 passes per match.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given Bologna's superior form and statistical advantages, they are likely to dominate the match. Venezia's home advantage may provide some resistance, but Bologna's attacking depth and defensive solidity should see them through. Key factors will include Bologna's ability to maintain possession and exploit Venezia's defensive weaknesses.
Final Score Prediction
Bologna 2 - 1 Venezia
Half Time Score Prediction
Bologna 1 - 0 Venezia
Match-Winning Factors
- Bologna's offensive depth and possession control
- Venezia's reliance on key players like Pohjanpalo and Radu
In conclusion, while Venezia will fight hard to secure points, Bologna's form and tactical prowess make them favorites to win this Serie A clash.