MATCH OVERVIEW
Bari and Juve Stabia are gearing up for a high-stakes clash in the Serie B, with both teams looking to secure a crucial victory. This match, taking place at Bari's home ground, is set to kick off at 18:30 on January 17, 2026. With the season progressing, every point counts, and both teams will be eager to capitalize on this opportunity.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are quite balanced, with Bari at 2.85, a draw at 2.84, and Juve Stabia at 2.51. This suggests a closely contested match, with Juve Stabia slightly favored to win. The probabilities indicate a 35% chance for a Bari win, 35% for a draw, and 40% for a Juve Stabia victory. Given these odds, Juve Stabia might have a slight edge, but the match could easily swing in any direction.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bari
Bari's current form shows a mixed bag of results. They have an average of 0.84 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.53%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.53 goals per game. However, their ability to maintain a high number of successful dribbles (14.47) could be a key factor in breaking down Juve Stabia's defense.
Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia, on the other hand, has shown a slightly better offensive output with 1.11 goals per match and a higher possession rate of 53.95%. Their defense has been more solid, conceding only 1.16 goals per game. Their passing accuracy and ability to control the game through possession could be decisive in this matchup.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been tightly contested. Bari will look to leverage their home advantage, while Juve Stabia will aim to exploit their superior form and tactical discipline.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bari
- Gabriele Moncini: With 5 goals this season, Moncini is Bari's top scorer and will be crucial in their attacking efforts.
- Michele Cerofolini: A key defensive player with 154.95 points, his performance will be vital in keeping Juve Stabia at bay.
Juve Stabia
- Leonardo Candellone: Also with 5 goals, Candellone is Juve Stabia's main threat upfront.
- Andrea Giorgini: With 148.54 points, Giorgini's defensive capabilities will be essential in neutralizing Bari's attacks.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Bari: Average of 10 shots per game, with 2.95 on target. Their expected goals (xG) is 1.11, indicating potential for more goals.
- Juve Stabia: Average of 10.53 shots per game, with 3.37 on target. Their xG of 1.3 suggests a more efficient attack.
- Defensive Comparison: Bari concedes 1.53 goals per game, while Juve Stabia concedes 1.16, highlighting Juve Stabia's defensive edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Juve Stabia appears to have a slight advantage due to their better defensive record and higher possession stats. However, Bari's home advantage and key players like Moncini could turn the tide. The match is likely to be closely contested, with both teams having a good chance to score.
Final Score Prediction: Bari 1-2 Juve Stabia Half Time Score Prediction: Bari 0-1 Juve Stabia Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
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