MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie B match between Brescia and Pisa is set to be a captivating battle, with both teams eager to secure a win. Brescia, playing at home, will be looking to overturn the odds against a Pisa side that has shown strong form this season. The match, taking place at Brescia's home stadium, is scheduled for April 25, 2025, at 13:00 GMT.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight advantage for Pisa, with odds of 2.18 for an away win compared to 3.05 for Brescia. The draw is priced at 3.45, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 31.1% for Brescia, 27.5% for a draw, and 41.4% for Pisa. Given Pisa's stronger form, they are expected to edge out Brescia, but the home side's resilience could lead to a surprise result.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Brescia
Brescia's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 1.09 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.33%. Their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.3 goals per game. However, their ability to score in 57.58% of matches where both teams score indicates potential for offensive breakthroughs.
Pisa
Pisa has been more consistent, averaging 1.64 goals per match and conceding only 0.94. Their possession rate of 45.64% is slightly lower than Brescia's, but their defensive solidity and offensive prowess make them formidable opponents. Pisa's ability to score in 54.55% of matches with over 2.5 goals highlights their attacking threat.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Pisa has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often capitalizing on Brescia's defensive lapses. Brescia will need to tighten their defense and exploit any weaknesses in Pisa's setup to gain an advantage.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Brescia
- Gennaro Borrelli: With 5 goals this season, Borrelli is a key figure in Brescia's attack.
- Dimitri Bisoli: His contributions in midfield are crucial for Brescia's playmaking.
Pisa
- Matteo Tramoni: Leading Pisa's scoring with 12 goals, Tramoni is a significant threat.
- Stefano Moreo: His 6 goals add depth to Pisa's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Brescia averages 12.3 shots per game, with 4.18 on target.
- Pisa averages 11.94 shots, with 3.67 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Brescia's defense concedes 1.3 goals per game, while Pisa concedes 0.94.
- Pisa's clearances per game are higher at 6.64 compared to Brescia's 5.67.
Tactical Insights
Pisa's defensive strength and Brescia's offensive potential suggest a tactical battle where Brescia will need to break down Pisa's solid defense.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Pisa is likely to win, given their superior form and defensive capabilities. Brescia's home advantage and potential for scoring could make the match competitive, but Pisa's consistency is expected to prevail.
Final Score Prediction
Pisa to win 2-1, with a half-time score of 1-0 in favor of Pisa.
Match-Winning Factors
- Pisa's defensive solidity and attacking efficiency.
- Brescia's potential to exploit home advantage and offensive opportunities.
In conclusion, while Brescia has the capability to challenge Pisa, the visitors are favored to secure a victory, continuing their strong season performance.