MATCH OVERVIEW
Empoli will host Palermo in a highly anticipated Serie B match at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. This fixture is pivotal for both teams as they seek to solidify their positions in the league standings. Empoli, currently showing a mixed form, will look to capitalize on their home ground advantage, while Palermo aims to continue their impressive run this season.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Palermo, with odds of 2.17 for an away win compared to 2.99 for Empoli. The draw is priced at 3.07, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 33.4% for Empoli, 46.1% for Palermo, and 32.5% for a draw. Based on these figures, Palermo is expected to have a better chance of securing a victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Empoli
Empoli has had a season of ups and downs, with an average of 1.57 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.71%. Their offensive play is supported by key players like Stiven Shpendi, who has scored 6 goals this season. However, their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding an average of 1.29 goals per game.
Palermo
Palermo, on the other hand, has been more consistent, boasting a higher possession rate of 51.21% and conceding only 0.71 goals per match. Joel Pohjanpalo has been a standout performer, netting 8 goals this season. Palermo's defensive solidity and effective attacking strategies make them a formidable opponent.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Empoli
- Stiven Shpendi: With 6 goals this season, Shpendi is crucial to Empoli's attacking prowess.
- Andrea Fulignati: A key figure in defense, contributing significantly to Empoli's overall performance.
Palermo
- Joel Pohjanpalo: Leading the scoring charts for Palermo with 8 goals, Pohjanpalo is a constant threat to any defense.
- Niccolò Pierozzi: His 4 goals and dynamic play make him a vital asset for Palermo.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Empoli's offensive metrics show an average of 10.14 shots per game, with 4.07 on target. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 1.41, indicating potential for scoring. Defensively, they average 38.57 interceptions per match.
Palermo excels in both offensive and defensive metrics, with 13 shots per game and 4.64 on target. Their xG is slightly higher at 1.58, and they maintain a strong defensive line with 37.07 interceptions.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Palermo appears to have the upper hand in this matchup. Their superior possession, defensive record, and key player performances suggest they are likely to secure a win. However, Empoli's home advantage and potential for scoring cannot be underestimated.
Final Score Prediction: Empoli 1-2 Palermo Half Time Score Prediction: Empoli 0-1 Palermo Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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