MATCH OVERVIEW
Juve Stabia and Reggiana face off in a pivotal Serie B match that could have significant implications for the playoff race. Juve Stabia, currently in a strong position, will aim to secure maximum points at home, while Reggiana seeks to upset the hosts and boost their own playoff hopes. The Stadio Romeo Menti will be the venue for this exciting clash, with kickoff set for 18:30 on May 9, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Juve Stabia, with odds of 2.18 for a home win, 2.83 for a draw, and 3.73 for a Reggiana victory. This translates to a probability of approximately 45.9% for a Juve Stabia win, 35.3% for a draw, and 26.8% for a Reggiana win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Juve Stabia favored to leverage their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Juve Stabia
- Current Form: Juve Stabia has shown consistency this season, with an average of 1.14 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.08 goals per game.
- Strengths: Strong possession play (52.42%) and effective dribbling (14.42 successful dribbles per match).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous losses in their own half (5.03 per match).
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Juve Stabia has had the upper hand in home fixtures against Reggiana.
Reggiana
- Current Form: Reggiana has been competitive, averaging 1.08 goals per match but conceding 1.36 goals per game.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (16.36 per match) and effective in duels (105.72 successful duels per match).
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate (46.19%) and higher susceptibility to offsides (2.33 per match).
- Head-to-Head: Reggiana will look to improve their away record against Juve Stabia.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Juve Stabia
- Andrea Adorante: Top scorer with 14 goals, crucial for Juve Stabia's attacking threat.
- Francesco Folino: Key playmaker with 133.75 points, contributing to both goals and assists.
Reggiana
- Manolo Portanova: Leading scorer with 8 goals, pivotal in Reggiana's offensive play.
- Alessandro Sersanti: Versatile midfielder with 126.7 points, known for his work rate and creativity.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Juve Stabia averages 9.06 shots per match, with 3.36 on target, while Reggiana averages 10.61 shots, with 3.69 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Juve Stabia's defense is slightly more robust, with fewer goals conceded per match (1.08) compared to Reggiana (1.36).
- Possession and Passing: Juve Stabia's higher possession (52.42%) and passing accuracy (291.19 successful passes) could be decisive.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Juve Stabia is likely to edge this encounter, leveraging their home advantage and superior possession play. Key factors include Andrea Adorante's goal-scoring prowess and Juve Stabia's defensive solidity. Reggiana's resilience and attacking threats like Manolo Portanova could pose challenges, but Juve Stabia's overall balance gives them the edge.
Final Score Prediction: Juve Stabia 2-1 Reggiana Half Time Score Prediction: Juve Stabia 1-0 Reggiana Both Teams to Score Probability: 52.78% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 47.22%