MATCH OVERVIEW
The Serie B clash between Mantova and Modena is set to be a captivating encounter, with both teams eager to secure a victory. Mantova, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage against a formidable Modena side. The match is scheduled to take place at Mantova's home ground on September 20, 2025, at 17:30.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Mantova having a slight edge at 2.42, Modena at 2.79, and a draw at 3.24. This indicates a 41.3% probability for a Mantova win, a 35.8% chance for Modena, and a 30.9% likelihood of a draw. The odds reflect the competitive nature of the match, with no clear favorite.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mantova
- Current Form: Mantova has shown a balanced performance with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 54.5%.
- Strengths: Strong dribbling skills with 16.5 successful dribbles per match and a solid passing game with 380 successful passes.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1 goal conceded per match and a high number of dangerous own half losses (7.5).
Modena
- Current Form: Modena has been impressive with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a higher possession rate of 55.5%.
- Strengths: Strong offensive capabilities with 1.95 expected goals and a solid defensive record with only 0.5 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Lower successful tackle rate and a tendency to lose duels.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Mantova and Modena have been tightly contested, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical approach will be crucial, with Mantova likely focusing on maintaining possession and Modena leveraging their offensive prowess.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mantova
- Antonio Fiori: A key player with 1 goal this season, contributing significantly to Mantova's attack.
- Stefano Cella: Leading in points with 159.19, showcasing his influence on the field.
Modena
- Simone Santoro: A standout performer with 232.67 points and 1 goal, pivotal in Modena's midfield.
- Luca Zanimacchia: Another key player with 1 goal, adding depth to Modena's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Modena leads with 15.5 shots per match compared to Mantova's 11, indicating a more aggressive attacking approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Modena's defensive solidity is highlighted by their lower expected goals against (0.42) compared to Mantova's 1.19.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams exhibit strong possession play, but Mantova's higher successful pass rate could be a decisive factor.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Modena appears to have a slight edge due to their superior offensive and defensive metrics. However, Mantova's home advantage and strong passing game could level the playing field. The match is likely to be closely contested, with both teams having the potential to secure a win.
Final Score Prediction: Mantova 1-1 Modena Half Time Score Prediction: Mantova 0-0 Modena Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 25%
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