MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie B clash between Modena and Juve Stabia is set to be a thrilling encounter, with both teams eager to secure vital points. Scheduled for December 20, 2025, at 14:00, this match holds significant importance as both sides aim to strengthen their positions in the league standings. Modena, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an edge over their opponents.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive fixture, with Modena favored at 2.04, a draw at 2.98, and Juve Stabia at 3.62. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 49% for a Modena win, 33% for a draw, and 28% for a Juve Stabia victory. Given these figures, Modena is expected to have the upper hand, but the possibility of a draw remains significant.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Modena
- Current Form: Modena has shown a solid performance this season, with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.69 goals on average.
- Strengths: High possession rate (53.38%), effective dribbling (18.5 successful dribbles per match), and a robust defense with a low expected goals against (0.8).
- Weaknesses: Occasional lapses in concentration leading to dangerous own half losses (4.44 per match).
Juve Stabia
- Current Form: Juve Stabia has been less consistent, averaging 1.06 goals per match while conceding 1.19.
- Strengths: Good possession (54.44%) and a decent passing game with 368.75 successful passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense with a higher expected goals against (1.17) and a tendency to collect yellow cards (2.88 per match).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Modena has had the upper hand in encounters with Juve Stabia, often leveraging their home advantage to secure wins. This trend could continue given their current form and statistical edge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Modena
- Ettore Gliozzi: Leading scorer with 8 goals, crucial for Modena's attacking prowess.
- Daniel Tonoli: Key midfielder with 165 points, contributing both defensively and offensively.
Juve Stabia
- Leonardo Candellone: Top scorer with 4 goals, pivotal in Juve Stabia's attack.
- Andrea Giorgini: Defensive stalwart with 148.22 points, essential for maintaining defensive solidity.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Modena averages 16.31 shots per match with 5 on target, while Juve Stabia averages 10.31 shots with 3.25 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Modena's defense is more robust, conceding fewer goals and maintaining a lower expected goals against.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams exhibit strong possession and passing stats, but Modena's higher successful dribbles and key passes give them a slight edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Modena is likely to emerge victorious, leveraging their home advantage and superior defensive record. Key factors include Modena's ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities through players like Gliozzi. Juve Stabia will need to tighten their defense and rely on counter-attacks to challenge Modena.
Final Score Prediction: Modena 2-1 Juve Stabia Half Time Score Prediction: Modena 1-0 Juve Stabia Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
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