MATCH OVERVIEW
Modena and Mantova are gearing up for an exciting Serie B clash at the Stadio Alberto Braglia. This match is pivotal for both teams as they look to solidify their positions in the league standings. With Modena currently showing a stronger form, they will aim to capitalize on their home advantage. The match is set to kick off at 18:30 on December 13, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 2.04 for a Modena win, 3.16 for a draw, and 3.35 for a Mantova victory. These odds suggest a slight edge for Modena, with a 49% probability of winning, compared to Mantova's 30% and a 21% chance of a draw. The odds indicate that Modena is favored to secure a win, but Mantova's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Modena
- Current Form: Modena has been consistent this season, with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.64 goals per game.
- Strengths: Strong possession play (54.79%) and a high number of successful dribbles (18.07 per game).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous losses in their own half (4.43 per game).
Mantova
- Current Form: Mantova has struggled with consistency, averaging 0.93 goals per match while conceding 1.57.
- Strengths: High possession rate (61.21%) and effective passing game (453.21 successful passes per game).
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, with a high expected goals against (1.73).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Modena has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Mantova's recent form suggests they could pose a challenge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Modena
- Ettore Gliozzi: Top scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Modena's attacking play.
- Daniel Tonoli: Key midfielder with 164.62 points, contributing both defensively and offensively.
Mantova
- Leonardo Mancuso: Leading the attack with 4 goals, vital for Mantova's scoring chances.
- Stefano Cella: Influential in midfield with 154.52 points, providing creativity and stability.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Modena averages 15.64 shots per game, with 4.57 on target, while Mantova averages 14.43 shots, with 5.5 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Modena's defense is more robust, conceding fewer goals and having a lower expected goals against.
- Possession and Passing: Mantova excels in possession and passing accuracy, which could be pivotal in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Modena is likely to edge out Mantova, leveraging their home advantage and stronger defensive setup. Key factors include Modena's ability to convert possession into goals and Mantova's need to tighten their defense. The final score prediction is a 2-1 victory for Modena, with a 60% probability of both teams scoring and a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
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