MATCH OVERVIEW
Palermo and Modena are gearing up for a high-stakes battle in Serie B, with both teams eyeing crucial points to bolster their promotion campaigns. The match, scheduled for October 19th at Stadio Renzo Barbera, is set to kick off at 13:00 GMT. Palermo, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage against a formidable Modena side.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Palermo slightly favored at 2.1, Modena at 3.37, and a draw at 3.08. This translates to a 47.6% probability for a Palermo win, 29.6% for a draw, and 22.8% for a Modena victory. The odds indicate a tight match, with Palermo having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Palermo
Palermo has been consistent this season, averaging 1.29 goals per match and maintaining a solid defensive record with only 0.43 goals conceded per game. Their possession rate of 50.14% and successful pass rate of 80.1% highlight their ability to control the game. However, their over 2.5 goals percentage is relatively low at 28.57%, indicating a preference for tight, controlled matches.
Modena
Modena, on the other hand, has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.86 goals per match. Their possession rate of 51.29% and successful pass rate of 81.3% demonstrate their capability to dominate play. With a higher over 2.5 goals percentage of 42.86%, Modena tends to engage in more open, attacking games.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Palermo and Modena have had closely contested matches, with Palermo often having the upper hand at home. This trend could play a significant role in the upcoming fixture.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Palermo
- Joel Pohjanpalo: With 4 goals this season, Pohjanpalo is Palermo's key attacking threat.
- Filippo Ranocchia: Leading in points, Ranocchia's midfield presence is crucial for controlling the game.
Modena
- Ettore Gliozzi: The top scorer for Modena with 5 goals, Gliozzi will be pivotal in breaking down Palermo's defense.
- Leandro Chichizola: A reliable figure in goal, Chichizola's performance could be decisive.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Palermo: Average 12.14 shots per game with 4.57 on target, showcasing a balanced offensive approach.
- Modena: Average 15.14 shots per game with 4.43 on target, indicating a more aggressive attacking style.
Possession and Passing
- Palermo: 352.29 passes per game with 282.29 successful, reflecting their strategic ball control.
- Modena: 363.57 passes per game with 295.71 successful, emphasizing their passing proficiency.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Palermo's home advantage and solid defensive record give them a slight edge. However, Modena's attacking prowess cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Palermo's ability to contain Modena's forwards and capitalize on their scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
Palermo 2-1 Modena
Half Time Score Prediction
Palermo 1-0 Modena
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 47.6%
- Away Win: 22.8%
- Draw: 29.6%
- Both Teams to Score: 42.86%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 35%
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