Match Overview
Reggiana and Cremonese face off in a crucial Serie B match that could significantly impact their standings. With Cremonese favored by the odds, Reggiana will look to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a vital win.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Cremonese slightly favored at 2.09 compared to Reggiana's 3.44. The draw is priced at 3.17, indicating a balanced contest. The probabilities are:
- Home Win: 29%
- Draw: 31%
- Away Win: 40% Cremonese's higher probability reflects their stronger form and statistical advantage.
Team Analysis
Reggiana
- Matches: 30
- Goals: 1 per match
- Possession: 46.27%
- Expected Goals: 1.38
- Conceded Goals: 1.2 Reggiana's strengths lie in their defensive resilience and ability to intercept, averaging 39.63 interceptions per match. However, their offensive output is limited, with only 1 goal per match.
Cremonese
- Matches: 31
- Goals: 1.61 per match
- Possession: 58.26%
- Expected Goals: 1.72
- Conceded Goals: 1.13 Cremonese boasts superior possession and passing accuracy, with 480.13 passes per match. Their offensive prowess is evident in their higher goal average and expected goals.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Cremonese has had the upper hand in recent encounters, leveraging their attacking depth and tactical flexibility.
Tactical Approaches
Reggiana will likely focus on a defensive setup, aiming to counter Cremonese's possession-based strategy. Cremonese, on the other hand, will look to dominate the midfield and create scoring opportunities through their key players.
Key Players Spotlight
Reggiana
- Luca Vido: 6 goals
- Manolo Portanova: 5 goals Vido and Portanova are crucial for Reggiana's attacking efforts, with their goal-scoring ability pivotal in breaking Cremonese's defense.
Cremonese
- Franco Vázquez: 9 goals
- Michele Collocolo: 6 goals Vázquez's form is instrumental for Cremonese, providing both goals and creative playmaking.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Reggiana: 10.87 shots, 3.77 on target
- Cremonese: 14.58 shots, 5 on target Cremonese's offensive metrics surpass Reggiana's, indicating a higher likelihood of scoring.
Defensive Metrics
- Reggiana: 6.1 clearances
- Cremonese: 4.68 clearances Reggiana's defense is slightly more active, but Cremonese's overall defensive rating is stronger.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Cremonese is favored to win, with their superior offensive and possession stats likely to be decisive. Reggiana's home advantage and defensive capabilities could make it a close contest.
Final Score Prediction
Cremonese 2 - 1 Reggiana
Match-Winning Factors
- Cremonese's possession and passing accuracy
- Reggiana's defensive resilience and counter-attacking potential
In conclusion, while Reggiana has the potential to challenge Cremonese, the visitors' form and statistical advantages make them the likely victors.