Match Overview
Sampdoria and Frosinone face off in a crucial Serie B match that could impact their promotion aspirations. With Sampdoria playing at home, they have a slight edge, but Frosinone's resilience could make this a tightly contested battle.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Sampdoria favored at 1.98, indicating a 50.5% probability of winning. The draw is priced at 3.11, translating to a 32.1% chance, while Frosinone's odds of 3.66 give them a 27.3% probability of victory. These odds reflect the balanced nature of the contest, with Sampdoria slightly ahead.
Team Analysis
Sampdoria
- Current Form: Sampdoria has played 29 matches, with a moderate goal-scoring record of 1.1 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 49.55% and successful dribbles (14.72) highlight their ability to control the game.
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.34 goals per match and a high expected goals against (1.58) indicate defensive vulnerabilities.
Frosinone
- Current Form: Frosinone has played 30 matches, scoring 0.9 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their successful dribbles (18.23) and duels won (97.17) showcase their competitive edge.
- Weaknesses: Similar defensive issues, conceding 1.37 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Sampdoria has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Frosinone's recent form suggests they could challenge this trend.
Tactical Approaches
Sampdoria may focus on maintaining possession and exploiting Frosinone's defensive gaps, while Frosinone could rely on counter-attacks and set-pieces.
Key Players Spotlight
Sampdoria
- Massimo Coda: Leading scorer with 7 goals, crucial for breaking Frosinone's defense.
- Alessio Cragno: Key defensive player with 153.47 points.
Frosinone
- Giuseppe Ambrosino: Top scorer with 3 goals, pivotal in attacking plays.
- Ilario Monterisi: Defensive stalwart with 144.57 points.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Sampdoria averages 11.66 shots per game, slightly higher than Frosinone's 11.1.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar interception rates, with Sampdoria at 36.59 and Frosinone at 36.43.
- Possession and Passing: Sampdoria's possession (49.55%) and successful passes (294.76) are slightly superior to Frosinone's.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Sampdoria is likely to edge out Frosinone, leveraging their home advantage and superior possession stats. Key factors include Massimo Coda's goal-scoring ability and Alessio Cragno's defensive contributions.
Final Score Prediction: Sampdoria 2-1 Frosinone Half Time Score Prediction: Sampdoria 1-0 Frosinone Both Teams to Score Probability: 58% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 41%