MATCH OVERVIEW
Spezia will host Bari in a highly anticipated Serie B match at the Stadio Alberto Picco. This fixture is crucial for both teams as they look to solidify their positions in the league standings. Spezia, currently showing a mixed form, will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage, while Bari aims to disrupt their plans with a strong away performance. The match is scheduled for November 7, 2025, at 19:30, promising an exciting evening of football.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Spezia, with odds of 1.7 for a home win, indicating a 58.8% probability. The draw is priced at 3.57, translating to a 28% chance, while Bari's odds of 4.38 suggest a 22.8% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Spezia is favored to win, but Bari's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Spezia
Spezia's current form shows a balanced approach with an average of 10 matches played this season. They have a 40% success rate in matches with over 2.5 goals and a 60% rate for both teams scoring. Spezia's possession stands at 47.5%, with an average of 1 goal per match. Their defensive statistics reveal 1.4 goals conceded per game, indicating potential vulnerabilities.
Bari
Bari has played 9 matches this season, with a higher percentage of games featuring over 2.5 goals (55.56%) and both teams scoring (66.67%). Their possession is slightly lower at 46.44%, but they match Spezia in average goals per game. Bari's defense has been less robust, conceding 1.67 goals per match, which could be a critical factor in this encounter.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Spezia
- Gianluca Lapadula: Spezia's top scorer with 3 goals this season, Lapadula will be key in breaking Bari's defense.
- Salvatore Esposito: A pivotal player with 164.59 points, contributing both defensively and offensively.
Bari
- Gabriele Moncini: Leading Bari's attack with 5 goals, Moncini's form will be crucial for Bari's chances.
- Michele Cerofolini: With 170.26 points, Cerofolini's defensive capabilities will be vital in keeping Spezia at bay.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Spezia: Average 9.2 shots per game with 4 on target, indicating a need for improved accuracy. Their defensive rating stands at 324.16.
- Bari: Slightly higher shot average at 10.56, but only 3 on target. Their defensive rating is lower at 243.34, suggesting potential weaknesses.
Possession and Passing
- Spezia: 369.9 passes per game with a success rate of 304.2, showing solid ball control.
- Bari: 375.44 passes with 311.89 successful, indicating a slightly better passing game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Spezia is favored to win, but Bari's offensive capabilities could lead to a competitive match. Key factors include Spezia's home advantage and Bari's goal-scoring prowess. The final score prediction is Spezia 2-1 Bari, with a high probability of both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals.
All predictions, betting tips, and odds provided on this page are generated using data-driven models and expert analysis. While we strive for accuracy, no prediction can guarantee results. Soccer outcomes are influenced by numerous unpredictable factors such as injuries, weather, and team decisions. Please use our content as informational only and not as financial advice.
<0>Predictions.GG does not promote or encourage gambling.0> If you choose to place bets, please do so responsibly and ensure it complies with the laws and regulations in your country. For help with problem gambling, visit <1>BeGambleAware.org1> or your local support service.