MATCH OVERVIEW
Albirex Niigata and Shimizu S-Pulse are gearing up for a pivotal J League match that could shape their season trajectories. As the home team, Albirex Niigata will look to leverage their familiarity with the Denka Big Swan Stadium to secure a victory. Meanwhile, Shimizu S-Pulse aims to capitalize on their recent form and climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds suggest a closely contested match, with Shimizu S-Pulse slightly favored at 2.36 compared to Albirex Niigata's 2.79. The draw stands at 3.22, indicating a competitive game. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 35.8% for a home win, 29.8% for a draw, and 42.4% for an away win. Shimizu S-Pulse's slight edge reflects their stronger season performance.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Albirex Niigata has shown resilience this season, with a possession rate of 53.68% and a solid passing game, averaging 507.07 passes per match. However, their goal-scoring has been modest, with only 0.96 goals per game. Their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.71 goals per match.
Shimizu S-Pulse, on the other hand, boasts a higher goal average of 1.11 per game and a slightly better defensive record, conceding 1.29 goals. Their possession is lower at 49.71%, but they have been effective in duels and interceptions.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Albirex Niigata's Motoki Hasegawa, with 6 goals, will be crucial in their attacking efforts. Ken Yamura and Danilo Gomes also add depth to their forward line.
Shimizu S-Pulse's Koya Kitagawa, with 9 goals, is a key threat. His ability to find the net could be decisive. Kai Matsuzaki and Hikaru Nakahara provide additional attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Albirex Niigata's offensive rating stands at 449.56, while their defensive rating is 243.41. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.26 suggest potential for more goals than they have scored.
Shimizu S-Pulse's ratings are higher, with an offensive rating of 456.78 and a defensive rating of 306.72. Their xG of 1.16 aligns closely with their actual goal output.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the statistical insights and odds, Shimizu S-Pulse appears to have a slight advantage. Their superior goal-scoring ability and defensive solidity could be the deciding factors.
Final Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Shimizu S-Pulse. Half Time Score Prediction: 0-1. Both Teams To Score Probability: 60%. Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 53%.
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