MATCH OVERVIEW
Shonan Bellmare and Machida Zelvia are gearing up for a crucial J League match that could significantly impact their standings this season. Shonan Bellmare, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka to gain an advantage. Meanwhile, Machida Zelvia, with a stronger season performance, aims to continue their upward trajectory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Machida Zelvia with a 2.01 chance of winning, indicating a 49.75% probability. Shonan Bellmare's odds stand at 3.64, translating to a 27.47% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.15, suggesting a 31.75% likelihood. These odds reflect Machida Zelvia's superior form and potential to secure an away win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Shonan Bellmare
- Current Form: Averaging 0.74 goals per match, Shonan Bellmare has struggled offensively.
- Strengths: Possession rate of 52.42% and successful dribbles at 11.74 per game.
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and high expected goals against (1.36).
Machida Zelvia
- Current Form: Averaging 1.16 goals per match, Machida Zelvia shows better offensive capabilities.
- Strengths: Higher expected goals (1.3) and successful crosses (6.79).
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower possession rate at 46.53%.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Machida Zelvia has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could play a psychological role in this match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Shonan Bellmare
- Sho Fukuda: With 3 goals this season, he remains a key offensive player.
- Luiz Phellype: Another crucial goal scorer with 3 goals.
Machida Zelvia
- Takuma Nishimura: Leading with 5 goals, Nishimura is a significant threat.
- Yuki Soma: Contributing 3 goals, Soma adds depth to the attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Machida Zelvia averages more shots (11.11) compared to Shonan Bellmare (9.68).
- Defensive Metrics: Machida Zelvia's expected goals against is lower (0.93) than Shonan Bellmare's (1.36).
- Possession and Passing: Shonan Bellmare leads in possession and successful passes, but Machida Zelvia excels in key passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Machida Zelvia is likely to emerge victorious. Their offensive prowess and solid defense provide them with a competitive edge. Shonan Bellmare will need to capitalize on home advantage and improve their attacking efficiency to challenge Machida Zelvia.
Final Score Prediction: Machida Zelvia 2-1 Shonan Bellmare Half Time Score Prediction: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Match-Winning Factors: Machida Zelvia's superior goal-scoring ability and defensive stability.