Match Overview
The upcoming J League match between Shonan Bellmare and Vissel Kobe is poised to be a captivating encounter. With both teams striving for a strong finish in the league, this match could play a pivotal role in shaping their respective seasons. Shonan Bellmare, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Vissel Kobe.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Shonan Bellmare at 2.92, Draw at 3.27, and Vissel Kobe at 2.24. These odds suggest a competitive match, with Vissel Kobe slightly favored to win. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 34.2%, a draw at 30.6%, and an away win at 44.6%. Based on these odds, Vissel Kobe is expected to edge out Shonan Bellmare, but the match remains open to any outcome.
Team Analysis
Shonan Bellmare
- Current Form: Shonan Bellmare has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.75 goals per game.
- Strengths: High possession rate (45.75%), effective dribbling (13.5 successful dribbles per game), and a solid defensive setup with 47.75 interceptions per match.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (5.5 per game) and a relatively low pass completion rate.
Vissel Kobe
- Current Form: Vissel Kobe has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.75 goals per match, but they maintain a higher possession rate (55.5%) compared to Shonan Bellmare.
- Strengths: Strong in duels (116.25 successful duels per game) and effective in long passes (38.25 successful long passes per game).
- Weaknesses: Lower goal-scoring rate and higher susceptibility to dangerous own half losses (7 per game).
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Vissel Kobe has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Shonan Bellmare's home advantage could level the playing field.
Tactical Approaches
Shonan Bellmare is likely to focus on a defensive strategy, capitalizing on counter-attacks, while Vissel Kobe may aim to control possession and exploit their passing strengths.
Key Players Spotlight
Shonan Bellmare
- A. Suzuki: Top scorer with 3 goals, crucial in leading the attack.
- Sho Fukuda: Key playmaker with 263.1 points, contributing significantly to the team's offensive play.
Vissel Kobe
- Yuya Osako: Leading scorer with 2 goals, vital for breaking through Shonan's defense.
- Daiju Sasaki: Important midfielder with 227.76 points, instrumental in controlling the game's tempo.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Shonan Bellmare: Average of 12.5 shots per game, with 5.5 on target, and a strong defensive record with only 0.75 goals conceded per match.
- Vissel Kobe: Average of 10.75 shots per game, with 3.75 on target, and a slightly weaker defense, conceding 1 goal per match.
Statistical Advantages
Shonan Bellmare's defensive solidity and higher expected goals (2.04) give them a slight edge in terms of potential goal-scoring opportunities.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Vissel Kobe is slightly favored to win, but Shonan Bellmare's defensive strength and home advantage could prove decisive. Key match-winning factors include Shonan's ability to capitalize on counter-attacks and Vissel Kobe's control of possession.
Final Score Prediction: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Vissel Kobe Half Time Score Prediction: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Vissel Kobe Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%