MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming K League 1 match between Daegu and Ulsan Hyundai is poised to be a thrilling encounter. Ulsan Hyundai, currently at the top of the league standings, will be looking to extend their lead, while Daegu aims to secure a top-half finish. The match will take place at Daegu Stadium, with kick-off scheduled for 7:30 AM UTC on September 27, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of an Ulsan Hyundai victory, with odds of 1.64. Daegu's odds stand at 4.19, indicating they are the underdogs, while the draw is priced at 3.93. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 60.98% for an Ulsan Hyundai win, 23.88% for a draw, and 15.14% for a Daegu victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Daegu
Daegu has had a mixed season, with an average of 30 matches played. They have a high Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 73.33%, indicating their matches often feature multiple goals. However, their average goals scored per match is 1.17, and they concede 1.87 goals on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Ulsan Hyundai
Ulsan Hyundai has been impressive this season, with a possession rate of 57.9% and an average of 1.2 goals per match. Their defensive solidity is evident with only 1.3 goals conceded per game. Ulsan's ability to control the game through possession and their higher expected goals (1.61) compared to Daegu (1.1) gives them a tactical edge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Daegu
- Cesinha: With 7 goals this season, Cesinha is Daegu's top scorer and a key player in their attacking setup.
- Caio Marcelo: Contributing 5 goals, Marcelo adds depth to Daegu's offensive capabilities.
Ulsan Hyundai
- Erick Farias: Leading Ulsan's scoring chart with 10 goals, Farias is a crucial player for their attacking strategy.
- Seung-beom Ko: With 140.48 points, Ko's performance in midfield is vital for Ulsan's control of the game.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Possession: Ulsan Hyundai's 57.9% possession rate is significantly higher than Daegu's 49.2%, indicating their ability to dominate the ball.
- Expected Goals: Ulsan's expected goals of 1.61 surpass Daegu's 1.1, suggesting a more potent attack.
- Defensive Ratings: Ulsan's defensive rating of 257.65 is superior to Daegu's 234.5, highlighting their defensive strength.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Ulsan Hyundai is favored to win this match, given their superior possession, expected goals, and defensive ratings. Key factors such as Erick Farias' goal-scoring form and Ulsan's ability to control the game through possession will likely be decisive.
Final Score Prediction: Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 Daegu Half Time Score Prediction: Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Daegu Probability of Both Teams to Score: 66.67% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 73.33%
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