MATCH OVERVIEW
Gimcheon Sangmu and Suwon are gearing up for a pivotal clash in the K League 1, with both teams eager to secure a win that could significantly impact their standings. Gimcheon Sangmu, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Suwon. The match, set to take place at Gimcheon Stadium, is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Gimcheon Sangmu with a 1.91 chance of winning, translating to a probability of approximately 52.4%. Suwon, on the other hand, has odds of 3.4, giving them a 29.4% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.5, indicating an 28.6% probability. Based on these odds, Gimcheon Sangmu is expected to have the upper hand, but Suwon's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Gimcheon Sangmu
- Current Form: Gimcheon Sangmu has shown a solid performance this season, with an average of 1.54 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.69%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their average of 14.19 shots per game and 5.38 shots on target.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with 1 goal conceded per match.
Suwon
- Current Form: Suwon has been competitive, averaging 1.42 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 44.42%.
- Strengths: Suwon's ability to score is supported by their 57.69% over 2.5 goals percentage.
- Weaknesses: They concede 1.42 goals per match, which could be exploited by Gimcheon Sangmu.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Gimcheon Sangmu has had the edge over Suwon, but recent encounters have been closely contested, making this match unpredictable.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Gimcheon Sangmu
- Dong-gyeong Lee: With 8 goals this season, Lee is a key offensive threat.
- Sang-hyeok Park: Also contributing 8 goals, Park's form will be crucial.
Suwon
- Pablo Sabbag: Leading Suwon's attack with 12 goals, Sabbag is a player to watch.
- Willyan: His 6 goals add depth to Suwon's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Gimcheon Sangmu averages 1.63 expected goals per match, slightly higher than Suwon's 1.5.
- Defensive Metrics: Gimcheon Sangmu's expected goals against is 1.31, compared to Suwon's 1.41.
- Possession and Passing: Gimcheon Sangmu's passing accuracy is superior, with 336.31 successful passes per match.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Gimcheon Sangmu is likely to edge out Suwon in this encounter. Key factors include their home advantage and superior offensive metrics. However, Suwon's attacking prowess, led by Pablo Sabbag, could pose a significant challenge.
Final Score Prediction: Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 Suwon Half Time Score Prediction: Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Suwon Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
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