MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Liga MX match between Guadalajara and Cruz Azul is more than just a regular fixture; it's a battle for supremacy and a chance to gain a strategic advantage in the league standings. Guadalajara, playing at home, will be eager to leverage their familiarity with Estadio Akron to secure a win. Meanwhile, Cruz Azul, known for their strong away performances, will look to continue their impressive run this season.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Cruz Azul, with odds of 2.18 compared to Guadalajara's 2.81. The probability of a draw stands at 3.16. This indicates a competitive match, with Cruz Azul having a 45.9% chance of winning, Guadalajara a 35.6% chance, and a draw at 31.6%. The odds reflect Cruz Azul's superior form and attacking prowess this season.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Guadalajara
- Current Form: Guadalajara has shown resilience this season, with an average of 1.31 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.07 goals on average.
- Strengths: Strong in duels (207.9 per match) and interceptions (31.72 per match), indicating a robust defensive setup.
- Weaknesses: Struggles with converting chances, as reflected in their lower goal-scoring average.
Cruz Azul
- Current Form: Cruz Azul boasts a higher goal average of 1.88 per match and a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.94 goals on average.
- Strengths: High possession rate (58.72%) and effective passing game (484.06 passes per match).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to counter-attacks, as indicated by their interceptions and clearances stats.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. The tactical battle will be crucial, with Guadalajara likely to focus on defensive solidity and counter-attacks, while Cruz Azul will aim to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Guadalajara
- Roberto Alvarado: A key player with 8 goals this season, Alvarado's creativity and goal-scoring ability will be vital.
- Raúl Rangel: With a CompaScore of 224.71, Rangel's defensive contributions will be crucial.
Cruz Azul
- Ángel Sepúlveda: Leading the scoring charts with 12 goals, Sepúlveda's form will be pivotal for Cruz Azul's attack.
- C. Rotondi: A versatile player with 235.18 points, Rotondi's all-around play will be essential.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Cruz Azul leads with 14.66 shots per match compared to Guadalajara's 11.14, highlighting their attacking intent.
- Defensive Metrics: Guadalajara's higher duels and interceptions suggest a more aggressive defensive approach.
- Possession and Passing: Cruz Azul's superior possession and passing accuracy could dictate the tempo of the match.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Cruz Azul appears to have the upper hand. Their superior attacking metrics and defensive solidity make them favorites. However, Guadalajara's home advantage and defensive resilience cannot be underestimated.
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Cruz Azul's Attack: If they can capitalize on their chances, they are likely to secure a win.
- Guadalajara's Defense: A strong defensive performance could frustrate Cruz Azul and lead to a favorable result for the home side.
Final Score Prediction
Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Guadalajara. Expect a closely fought match with both teams finding the net, but Cruz Azul edging it with their attacking prowess.