MATCH OVERVIEW
Juárez and Cruz Azul face off in a pivotal Liga MX encounter that could significantly impact their respective campaigns. Juárez, playing at home, will be eager to secure points against a formidable Cruz Azul side. The match will take place at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, with kickoff scheduled for 3:06 AM UTC on January 31, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Cruz Azul with an average of 1.83, indicating a 54.6% probability of an away win. Juárez, with odds of 3.99, has a 25.1% chance of victory, while the draw is priced at 3.3, suggesting a 30.3% likelihood. These odds reflect Cruz Azul's stronger form and higher league standing, making them the expected favorites.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Juárez has shown resilience this season, averaging 1.43 goals per match and maintaining a 60.87% rate of games with over 2.5 goals. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.57 goals per game. Cruz Azul, on the other hand, boasts a more balanced approach with 1.71 goals scored and only 1.08 conceded per match. Their possession rate of 58.46% highlights their control in games, contrasting with Juárez's 49.43%.
Head-to-head, Cruz Azul has historically had the upper hand, and their tactical discipline, reflected in their higher successful pass rate and fewer dangerous losses, could prove decisive.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Juárez, Óscar Estupiñán is a key figure, having scored 9 goals this season. His ability to find the net will be crucial against a solid Cruz Azul defense. Meanwhile, Cruz Azul's Gabriel Fernández, with 10 goals, will be the main threat to Juárez's backline. The midfield battle will be pivotal, with Juárez's Alejandro Mayorga and Cruz Azul's Agustín Palavecino both in fine form.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Cruz Azul's offensive metrics, including 16.29 shots per game and a 5.71 shots on target average, underline their attacking prowess. Defensively, their expected goals against (0.9) is significantly lower than Juárez's (1.34), indicating a more robust defensive setup. Juárez's high both teams to score percentage (73.91%) suggests a likelihood of goals from both sides.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Cruz Azul's superior form and statistical advantages make them the favorites for this match. Key factors such as their higher possession, better defensive record, and more prolific attack suggest they will likely secure a win. However, Juárez's home advantage and attacking potential could see them challenge Cruz Azul's dominance.
Final Score Prediction: Juárez 1-2 Cruz Azul. Expect a competitive match with both teams finding the net, but Cruz Azul's quality should see them edge out a victory.
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