Match Overview
Juárez and Guadalajara face off in a pivotal Liga MX match that could shape the trajectory of their season. Juárez, currently struggling to climb the league table, will look to leverage their home advantage against a formidable Guadalajara side. Meanwhile, Guadalajara aims to consolidate their position in the upper echelons of the league.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest Guadalajara as the favorites with odds of 1.96, translating to a 51% probability of an away win. Juárez, with odds of 3.35, has a 29% chance of securing a victory, while the draw is pegged at 3.42, indicating a 20% probability. These odds reflect Guadalajara's superior form and higher league standing.
Team Analysis
Juárez
- Current Form: Juárez has shown inconsistency, with a moderate goal-scoring record of 1.14 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate of 69.6% and interception rate of 37.86 per match highlight their defensive capabilities.
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.82 goals per game and a possession rate of 48.25% indicate vulnerabilities.
Guadalajara
- Current Form: Guadalajara boasts a stronger offensive presence, averaging 1.36 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their passing accuracy (83.5%) and defensive solidity (1.11 goals conceded per match) are key assets.
- Weaknesses: Despite their strengths, Guadalajara's occasional lapses in defense could be exploited.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Guadalajara has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outscoring Juárez and maintaining a better defensive record.
Tactical Approaches
Juárez may adopt a counter-attacking strategy, relying on their dribbling and interception skills. Guadalajara, on the other hand, is likely to focus on possession-based play, utilizing their passing prowess to control the game.
Key Players Spotlight
Juárez
- Óscar Estupiñán: With 9 goals this season, Estupiñán is Juárez's primary attacking threat.
- Madson: His creative play and 147.36 points make him a crucial midfield presence.
Guadalajara
- Roberto Alvarado: Alvarado's 8 goals and 170.89 points highlight his impact in the attacking third.
- Raúl Rangel: A standout performer with 220.55 points, Rangel's defensive contributions are vital.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Juárez averages 10.54 shots per game, while Guadalajara slightly edges them with 11.29.
- Defensive Metrics: Guadalajara's lower goals conceded (1.11) compared to Juárez (1.82) underscores their defensive superiority.
- Possession and Passing: Guadalajara's possession rate of 51.79% and passing accuracy of 83.5% give them a tactical edge.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Guadalajara is favored to win, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors include their passing accuracy and defensive solidity. Juárez's chances hinge on exploiting counter-attacks and set-pieces.
Final Score Prediction: Guadalajara 2-1 Juárez Half Time Score Prediction: Guadalajara 1-0 Juárez Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%